XRP price prediction: Will $1.0071–$1.0762 range hold? XRP trades flat

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XRP edges up 0.05% to $1.04 today

Highlights

XRP spot ETFs logged seven consecutive weeks of net inflows totaling $144.69 million, indicating strong institutional demand momentum.
Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin is handling major institutional settlements, including transactions with JPMorgan and Mastercard, subtly shifting demand away from XRP.
Technical signals lean bearish, with XRP/USD expected to trade between $1.0071 and $1.0762 over 2–3 days; upside probability remains low.

Institutional ETF inflows rise as RLUSD adoption shifts demand channels

XRP continues to see consistent institutional inflows, with XRP spot ETFs recording seven consecutive weeks of net purchases totaling about $144.69 million, according to SoSoValue as cited by Crypto. These persistent inflows are reinforced by a daily net addition of $15.63 million on June 26, with Pluang reporting cumulative ETF inflows reaching $1.47 billion. Meanwhile, Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin is being adopted in major institutional settlements, including recent deals with JPMorgan and Mastercard, which shifts traditional demand channels away from XRP itself. The launch of RLUSD in Japan through SBI VC Trade broadens Ripple's regulated presence in Asia but does not directly influence short-term XRP trading dynamics.

Bearish momentum persists amid neutral trend strength and technical divergence

XRP is currently positioned above its 20-day moving average, while remaining beneath both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $1.0457 acts as the first support zone. A neutral Average Directional Index (ADX) reflects a lack of clear trend strength, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) highlights strong downside momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in Sell territory, and the Stochastic RSI signals a Strong Sell, though the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is neutral, indicating the absence of oversold conditions. Intraday, Bull/Bear Power points to buyer presence, and the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is neutral, creating a divergence between upward price action and mostly bearish momentum signals.

Downside risk prevails as volatility band defines near-term range

Over the next two to three trading days, XRP is projected to fluctuate between $1.0071 and $1.0762, reflecting a volatility band relative to current levels. The baseline scenario anticipates price holding within this range, consistent with mixed indicator signals and prevailing order flow. Should buyers regain initiative, a breakout above $1.0762 could occur, while a downside move below $1.0071 becomes likely if sellers overpower support. The probability of upward movement is low, with downward risk remaining elevated in the short term.

Anton Kharitonov, Traders Union expert, sees persistent institutional inflows into XRP ETFs as a sign of steady but cautious interest from large players. He notes that RLUSD's rise in institutional settlements marks a fundamental change, reducing the reliance on XRP for cross-border deals. Technically, downside momentum dominates despite some support from recent inflows. "Until XRP can reclaim its higher moving averages and reverse the momentum bias, I remain on the defensive here."

Earlier, analysts noted that persistent technical weakness and cautious sentiment were dominating XRP's near-term outlook. This article strengthens that view by highlighting that, despite ongoing institutional inflows, downside risk remains elevated, with traders advised to monitor a potential break below $1.0071 as a signal of renewed bearish momentum.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.