XRP holds gains as bullish adoption offsets stalled security amendment

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XRP gains 0.94% to $1.10 today

Highlights

The XRP Ledger v3.2.0 upgrade reached 89% validator approval, advancing protocol stability and network alignment as of July 9, 2026.
Key security improvements remain stalled with just 40% validator support for fixCleanup3_2_0, raising uncertainty about unresolved vulnerabilities.
XRP price shows bullish short- and medium-term momentum, with intraday consolidation expected between $1.0838 and $1.1564 despite overbought signals.

Protocol upgrade progress and delays shape sentiment and utility

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) v3.2.0 software upgrade has been adopted by 89% of validators as of July 9, 2026, signaling substantial validator alignment and progress toward enhanced protocol stability, according to Techtimes. However, the security amendment fixCleanup3_2_0 remains significantly delayed, with only around 40% validator support, which leaves key security improvements unimplemented and may create uncertainty among network participants. Additionally, XRP Ledger processed over 1 million AI-powered payments on July 8, 2026, following the launch of the XRPL AI Hub by t54.ai in partnership with Mastercard’s Verifiable Intent credentialing, demonstrating expanding real-world use cases for on-chain payments.

Mixed momentum and support emerge amid overbought warning

On the H1 chart, XRP/USD is trading above the MA-20 at $1.097 and the MA-50 at $1.0919, but remains below the MA-200 at $1.4632 on the daily timeframe. Immediate support is provided by the Ichimoku Kijun at $1.0963. Momentum indicators offer a mixed technical picture: the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is on Buy, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) is Neutral, suggesting trend strength is moderate. Oscillators highlight overbought conditions, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 64, Commodity Channel Index (CCI) in Overbought territory, and Stochastic RSI also reading Overbought. Intraday, Bull/Bear Power is on Buy and the Awesome Oscillator lends support to bullish momentum.

Bullish tilt as probability favors break of resistance band

Looking ahead to the next trading day, XRP is expected to find support at $1.0838 and face resistance at $1.1564, defining a typical volatility band relative to current levels. There is a 75% probability of an upward move and a 25% probability of a downward move, making further near-term gains more likely. The baseline scenario sees price consolidating within this range. A sustained push above $1.1564 could open the way for additional advances, while a break below $1.0838 would reintroduce selling pressure.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP technicals showing modest momentum, but notes that overbought indicators and stalling validator consensus on security upgrades limit near-term conviction. He believes adoption of the v3.2.0 upgrade is a positive sign for ledger stability, yet ongoing delays around critical security improvements may temper institutional confidence. The analyst is cautious given mixed momentum signals and unresolved protocol risks. "Until the security amendment passes and technicals improve, I remain defensive and see no clear risk-adjusted setup at these levels."

Previously it was reported that expanded regulatory approvals and institutional adoption were expected to support XRP’s consolidation and potential for renewed bullish momentum. The current combination of validator alignment on network upgrades and increased real-world payment activity adds further strength to this outlook, with traders advised to monitor the $1.1564 resistance level as a potential breakout trigger.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.