Bitcoin gains almost 6% after robust institutional and retail interest drives spot ETF inflows

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Bitcoin surges 5.78% today on demand

Highlights

Spot Bitcoin ETFs have received billions in net inflows from institutional and retail investors since August 2026.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust maintains high short interest, while companies with Bitcoin-focused treasuries have lost significant market value since July 2025.
BTC/USD trades within a sustained uptrend with robust momentum, expected to range between $76,304 and $83,852 over the next five sessions.

Sustained ETF inflows counter high short interest amid shifting treasury demand

Institutional and retail flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have remained significant since August 2026, with billions of dollars in net inflows. High short interest in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust has persisted, and recent US regulatory developments in tokenized securities have contributed to positive sentiment. Corporate treasury demand has slowed, and companies with Bitcoin-focused treasury strategies have experienced notable declines in market value since July 2025.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, views Bitcoin’s rally with caution. He highlights persistent high short interest in the spot ETF and reduced corporate treasury demand as worrying factors. Price momentum is strong, but minor selling pressure in technical signals and declines among Bitcoin treasury firms raise red flags. Kharitonov warns that bullish sentiment could quickly reverse if $79,600 fails. "Investors should remain alert for sharp corrections, as recent support could prove fragile if institutional flows waver."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees robust demand and constructive sentiment fueling further upside potential in BTC. He emphasizes positive US regulatory progress and strong spot ETF inflows since August 2026 as key drivers. The bullish structure remains intact, backed by resilient institutional and retail participation. Karapetjanc remains confident. "Breakout above $83,852 would open the door for further growth, as the market offers multiple bullish setups."

Jainam Mehta, market strategist, takes a scenario-based view on BTC moves. He identifies key levels at $83,852 and $79,600 as pivotal for near-term direction. Mehta notes that technical indicators show a mix of bullish trend and intermittent oversold readings, which could create tactical opportunities. "With momentum in play but early signs of exhaustion, a potential breakout above resistance may invite aggressive entries."

Persistent buyer control as major moving averages and bullish signals align

BTC/USD is trading above the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages ($78,037, $72,183, and $70,373), signaling sustained buyer control across short, medium, and long-term horizons. The Ichimoku Kijun at $78,633 acts as support, with the structure further confirmed by a bullish alignment between the 50-day and 200-day averages. Near-term resistance stands at $83,852, with immediate support at $79,600. Momentum is robust, as the MACD remains strongly bullish and the ADX supports a buy outlook. The RSI at 51.39 signals a buy forecast without overbought conditions, even as the Stochastic RSI at 16 flags oversold levels and the CCI at -99.04 reflects minor selling pressure. Bearish sentiment is most visible in the Bull/Bear Power at -10.07, pointing to intraday oversold conditions.

Previously it was reported that Hyperliquid enabled manual borrowing against Bitcoin and HYPE, expanding onchain lending capabilities. The latest developments in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and regulatory progress add a new dimension to Bitcoin’s outlook, with traders advised to monitor the $83,852 resistance for a potential bullish breakout in the near term.

Source of Data: BTC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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