Hedera price prediction: Support test in focus after selloff

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Hedera drops 12.4% today to $0.1045

Highlights

IDTrust, built on Hedera, was added to the IBM Cloud Catalog, expanding institutional access to Hedera's decentralized identity platform.
Hedera Governing Council members joined NVIDIA's Open Agent Safety Platform, increasing HBAR's involvement with leading enterprise technology providers.
HBAR trades below short- and medium-term averages with bearish momentum signals, likely consolidating in a $0.0949 to $0.1141 range over the next 2 to 3 days.

Enterprise adoption strengthens as institutional alliances expand

On September 23, 2026, IDTrust, an enterprise identity platform built on Hedera, was added to the IBM Cloud Catalog, broadening institutional access to Hedera's decentralized identity solutions, according to Cryptotimes. This move expands HBAR's footprint in the enterprise software market by integrating its technology with IBM's global platform. In a related development, several Hedera Governing Council members joined NVIDIA's Open Agent Safety Platform, further associating HBAR with major enterprise technology initiatives, as reported by Cryptonomist. Both developments highlight increased institutional engagement, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum confirmed as HBAR holds above long-term support

On the hourly chart, HBAR trades below both the MA-20 at $0.107 and the MA-50 at $0.113, while maintaining a position above the long-term MA-200 at $0.0817. The immediate resistance is set at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $0.1114, with support forming around $0.0949. Momentum indicators show MACD at Strong Sell, ADX pointing to a Sell bias, RSI at 39.5 (Sell), Stochastic RSI holding in the Overbought zone, and CCI in a Neutral stance. Bull/Bear Power confirms sellers dominating intraday momentum, while the Awesome Oscillator remains Neutral and does not reinforce current trend assumptions.

Downside risks mount as consolidation dominates short-term outlook

Over the next 2–3 trading days, the expected volatility band for HBAR is between $0.0949 and $0.1141. The likelihood of a downward continuation is higher, with a 58% probability, while an upward move carries a 42% chance. The base case anticipates consolidation within this range, with a bullish breakout requiring a close above resistance at $0.1114, and further declines probable if support at $0.0949 gives way.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees significant fundamental progress for Hedera with the IDTrust integration on IBM Cloud and its links to high-profile enterprise initiatives. He believes increased institutional access and engagement underpin positive long-term sentiment despite current selling pressure and technical weakness. Consolidation within the $0.0949 to $0.1141 range is likely in the coming days, but the foundation for a stronger rebound is being set. "Institutional adoption continues to deepen, so I view this retracement as a strategic positioning opportunity for patient investors."

Earlier, analysts noted that Hedera's price action was driven by heightened institutional interest and technical momentum following key enterprise integrations. The current analysis signals a shift as downside pressure dominates, with traders advised to monitor the $0.1114 resistance and $0.0949 support to gauge potential breakout or breakdown risks in the near term.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.