Dogecoin weekly outlook: Can DOGE reclaim momentum after nearly 5% drop and Bitwise ETF exit?

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Dogecoin slips 5.38% this week

Highlights

Dogecoin trades at $0.09437 after a 5.38% weekly decline, but maintains a bullish daily chart structure.
Trend-following indicators confirm strong buyer dominance and a trending market, despite neutral momentum signals.
The price is expected to trade between $0.0899 and $0.10059 next week, with $0.0921 as key support.

Historic ETF inflows countered by elevated supply and Bitwise exit this week

Dogecoin recorded its highest weekly inflows into US-listed spot ETFs since November 2025, with $2.89 million directed mainly to the Grayscale Dogecoin Trust, according to CryptoTicker and AMBCrypto. Despite these strong inflows, issuance remains high at about 5.3 billion DOGE annually, potentially overshadowing ETF demand, while a GitHub proposal to cut the block reward by 90% is still under review. In addition, Bitwise announced it will close its Dogecoin ETF, and on-chain data from Pluang and Finbold pointed to growing whale accumulation and increased derivatives activity.

Firm downtrend confirmed as ADX rises and bulls test key support

On the daily chart, the move reflects a sustained move lower with a firm trend, as shown by 9.22% weekly volatility. Bull/Bear Power signals strong buyer dominance, and the ADX reading of 32.07583 confirms a trending environment. Immediate support stands at $0.0921, defined by the Ichimoku Kijun, while resistance is seen at the recent weekly high of $0.09984. This setup points to continued directional interest, with trend-following signals outweighing neutral momentum oscillators.

Upside bias persists in coming week as support and resistance levels tighten

Next week, the expected trading range is $0.0899 to $0.10059, with a 79% probability of an increase and 21% odds of a decline. The base case is consolidation or a gradual drift higher while holding above $0.0921 support. A decisive move above $0.09984 would open the door to renewed bullish momentum. Failure to maintain support at $0.0921 would put the lower end of the expected range in play, exposing further downside risk.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Dogecoin’s pullback near $0.094 as a potential opportunity for tactical buyers. He notes heavy institutional demand, marked by the largest US ETF inflows since November 2025 and robust whale accumulation, as key drivers for renewed upward traction. High annual issuance and the pending GitHub proposal on block reward cuts present challenges, but the daily trend and strong Bull/Bear Power indicate buyers retain control. Technical levels at $0.0921 support and $0.09984 resistance define a range where further growth is expected, especially if price clears resistance in the coming week. "With positive flows and growing institutional interest, I see Dogecoin well-positioned for consolidation or a breakout above $0.09984 in the days ahead."

Earlier, analysts noted that Dogecoin's price action was constrained by persistent bearish momentum, with institutional inflows providing limited relief against continued selling pressure. The latest data underscores a shift in market structure as robust ETF inflows and increased whale accumulation now challenge lingering supply risks, making the upcoming $0.09984 resistance a key level to confirm any sustainable bullish breakout.

Source of Data: DOGE Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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