Lido faces continued technical pressure while buyers remain sidelined amid bearish chart signals: weekly analysis

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Lido slides 5.41% this week

Highlights

Lido has fallen 5.41% over the past 7 days to $0.365 and is trading well below its short-term moving averages.
Bearish price structure is confirmed by MACD and ADX sell signals and CCI oversold readings, indicating strong downside momentum.
Lido is likely to trade between $0.3345 and $0.438 in the coming week, with support at $0.3624 in focus and over 80% probability of further declines.

Security upgrades and audit findings shape sentiment as Lido expands platform

Lido introduced the Guardian Security Council in a bid to bolster the security framework for its upcoming decentralized lending platform, according to Coinfomania. Elsewhere, Lido's rollout of the 0x02 staking module enables permissionless validator participation with strict balance and bond requirements, as highlighted by ChainCatcher. The protocol also published its B2 Token Transparency Filing with Blockworks, outlining $15.94 million in revenue and a $4.45 million loss due to a Kelp charge, while recent audit recommendations called for reinforcing proxy deployment and scheduled reviews (sources: CryptoBriefing, TokenPost).

Bearish momentum intensifies this week as technical levels face pressure

On the daily chart, Lido is showing a sustained move lower with a firm trend, underscored by MACD and ADX both signalling sell and CCI registering oversold at -128.0273. Volatility has reached 15.87% over the past week, with momentum clearly favouring sellers as price approaches the nearest support at $0.3624. The main chart resistance is overhead at the MA-50 ($0.4137) and further reinforced by the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.4282. The cluster of signals and price placement suggest further weakness is more likely as long as Lido remains pinned below the daily moving averages.

Downside risk prevails in the coming week unless resistance is breached

In the week ahead, the expected range is $0.3345 to $0.438, with a very high probability of a decrease (over 80%) and a very low probability of an increase (less than 20%). The base case is continued pressure toward and potentially through the $0.3624 support. A bullish scenario would only come into view if price breaks above the $0.4137 resistance area, but for now, sellers retain control. Should support at $0.3624 fail, Lido could see further downside within the projected range.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Lido (LDO) continues its downward trend, closing the week near $0.37 after a 5% slide. Technical momentum remains negative, with daily MACD and ADX both flashing sell signals and CCI oversold at -128.0273, reinforcing a bearish setup. The recent introduction of the Guardian Security Council and new staking module suggest the protocol is strengthening its security and decentralization, but these developments have not reinvigorated demand in the short term. Volatility hit 15.87% for the week, and sellers remain in control as price action presses toward support at $0.3624, staying well below the MA-50 resistance of $0.4137. Kharitonov believes the base case is continued downside while LDO trades under its daily moving averages, with only a move above $0.4137 improving prospects. "As long as Lido is pinned below key resistances, I expect pressure to persist — for now, patience is warranted on the long side."

Previously, analysts noted that Lido faced heightened downside risk as technical signals and selling pressure dominated in the short term. This latest analysis confirms the prevailing bearish outlook, with attention now turning to whether $0.3624 can hold as critical support amid continued selling momentum.

Source of Data: LDO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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