Mantle weekly forecast: Persistent downside risk as price remains capped below the 20-day moving average

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Mantle slips 4.02% this week

Highlights

Mantle has dropped 4.02% over the past 7 days and trades below short- and long-term trend markers.
Bearish momentum dominates, with price structure and indicators confirming strong downside risk and volatility remains elevated.
Expected price range for the coming week is $0.481 to $0.547, with a high probability of further declines unless $0.5431 is reclaimed.

Mantle DeFi pivot and rising user addresses contrast with falling transactions

Recent developments on the Mantle network show increased engagement in its ecosystem, as TokenPost reports that Q3 2026 average daily active addresses rose about 6% from Q2 while daily transaction counts declined. Coinfomania notes that Mantle expanded its focus on tokenized assets during the third quarter, pointing to a shift in DeFi engagement. Additionally, Zipmex.com highlights positive funding rates this week, underlining continued market interest ahead.

Bearish momentum endures as MACD and volatility reinforce downside risk

On the daily chart, Mantle remains under clear pressure, with a sustained move lower and a firm trend. MACD and Bull/Bear Power both indicate continued selling dominance, while the ADX reading of 25.4376 confirms trend strength amidst elevated volatility at 12.27%. Support sits at $0.5014, resistance is defined by the 20-day moving average at $0.5431, and the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.603 is acting as a practical ceiling. With RSI still neutral and CCI approaching oversold, near-term risk remains skewed to the downside.

Breakdown risk high as reversal odds slip below key technical levels

In the week ahead, the expected range is $0.481 to $0.547. There is a very low probability (less than 20%) of a reversal higher and a very high probability (more than 80%) of further declines. The base case calls for sustained trade between $0.5014 and $0.5431. A bullish scenario would require a close above $0.5431 to signal relief, while a close below $0.5014 would expose the lower end of the forecasted range.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Mantle (MNT) closed the week near $0.51, under continued selling pressure and with the daily chart showing persistent downside momentum. He sees daily MACD and Bull/Bear Power confirming seller dominance, while the ADX at 25.4376 signals a strong trend amid elevated volatility. Kharitonov points to the recent uptick in active network addresses and a focus on tokenized assets as positive structural signals, though these have so far failed to stabilize price action. Support sits at $0.5014, with resistance at $0.5431 and a tougher ceiling at $0.603. The forecast for the coming week is a base range between $0.5014 and $0.5431, with a very high risk (>80%) of further declines unless a close above resistance emerges. "As long as Mantle fails to reclaim $0.5431, I remain cautious and see more downside risk in the near term."

Earlier, analysts noted that Mantle was experiencing persistent selling pressure alongside expanding activity in decentralized finance and tokenized assets. The current analysis confirms this prevailing downside bias, with a decisive close below the $0.5014 support now serving as the key risk marker to watch in the coming week.

Source of Data: MNT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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