XRP price prediction: Holds around $2.93 with ETF news lifting sentiment
XRP is trading around $2.93 on Wednesday, caught in a narrowing symmetrical triangle that has defined price action since mid-July. The token continues to compress between converging trendlines on the 4-hour chart, with price capped beneath short-term moving averages.
Highlights
- XRP price today trades near $2.93, compressing within triangle structure after multiple failed breakouts
- A confirmed move above $3.05 could test $3.30, while a break below $2.88 may expose $2.65 support
- SBI Holdings’ Bitcoin-XRP ETF filing boosts institutional interest in Asian markets
The 20 EMA near $2.97 serves as immediate resistance, while the 200 EMA at $2.9260 offers pivotal support. Price remains under all major EMAs, underscoring fading bullish momentum since its rejection from the $3.60 to $3.70 supply zone earlier this month.
Technical structure nears breakout threshold
After a series of lower highs and failed attempts to reclaim the $3.00 handle, XRP has settled into a consolidation phase. A Change of Character breakdown earlier this month and a weak rebound from the $2.88 low reflect a declining trend bias. Price has repeatedly failed to push past triangle resistance, most recently rejecting from the 50 EMA.

XRP price dynamics (Source: TradingView)
A decisive break below $2.88 would shift the structure decisively bearish, targeting the $2.72 to $2.65 demand zone. On the upside, a breakout above $3.05 would invalidate the pattern and potentially drive price toward $3.30 to $3.38.
ETF news adds long-term tailwind
While short-term price action remains muted, macro developments offer potential support. XRP registered a net inflow of $6.33 million on August 6, suggesting repositioning among holders. Importantly, Japan’s SBI Holdings filed for a dual-asset ETF tracking Bitcoin and XRP, marking a significant regulatory milestone. If approved, this would be Japan’s first crypto ETF to include XRP, strengthening its institutional appeal in Asian markets and offering a counterbalance to regulatory restrictions in the United States.
In our previous XRP coverage, we emphasized the importance of the $3.05 breakout level and the $2.88 support floor. That range continues to define the short-term outlook. Until a breakout or breakdown materializes, XRP remains range-bound, with triangle compression nearing resolution. Institutional narratives like the proposed ETF may ultimately shape medium-term sentiment.
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