Sideways action for XRP — price prediction supported by bullish technicals

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XRP Rises 0.05% Today, Holds $3.00

Highlights

XRP trades flat at $3.0035, above its MA-20 ($2.9664) and MA-200 ($2.5284) but faces resistance at its MA-50 ($3.0039).
Anticipated approval of the first US XRP spot ETF and Ripple's SEC lawsuit settlement drive bullish sentiment and reinforce institutional confidence.
XRP is expected to move sideways between $2.7885 and $2.8018 over the next five days, with over 80% probability of a price increase.

Investor confidence rises as regulatory advances and ETF speculation fuel sentiment

Regulatory progress around XRP continues to drive market sentiment, with the anticipated launch of the first US XRP spot ETF expected to boost institutional investment once approved. This regulatory clarity follows Ripple's settlement of its 2025 SEC lawsuit, which further strengthens investor confidence. Ongoing technology upgrades to the XRP Ledger and expanding global partnerships provide additional tailwinds.

Mixed momentum and weak trend as price consolidates near resistance

Technically, XRP’s price is consolidating near the MA-50 and is supported by the Ichimoku Kijun at $2.9417. Immediate resistance is at $3.0039. Momentum indicators are mixed: the daily MACD signals strong buying interest, while the ADX at 9.33 suggests the overall trend is weak. The RSI sits above 58, giving buyers a slight edge, but Stoch RSI at 33 points to selling pressure ahead, with CCI near neutral. Bull/Bear Power is slightly negative, indicating a minor intraday advantage for sellers. Price action stays near the session’s midpoint between $2.973 and $3.013, reflecting low volatility and lack of clear direction.

Rangebound outlook persists as bullish signals face resistance challenge

Over the next five trading days, XRP is expected to range between $2.7885 and $2.8018, with the average price likely near $2.7952. There is a very high chance (over 80%) of a price increase, as multiple weekly indicators tilt bullish. The base case is for XRP to continue moving sideways in a tight corridor. If buyers push above the $3.0039 resistance, a short-term rally could develop, but a break below $2.9417 would expose the asset to deeper losses toward weekly lows.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP as fundamentally well-positioned due to ongoing regulatory progress and increasing institutional interest—especially with the expected approval of a US XRP spot ETF. He believes that the asset’s consolidation above long-term moving averages, together with recent legal clarity, adds to medium-term investor confidence. While technical indicators remain mixed, Karapetjanc maintains a constructive outlook given the favorable macro and sentiment backdrop. "As long as XRP holds above key supports and regulatory momentum continues, I remain confident in its upside potential," says the expert.

In the previous update, it was highlighted that rising open interest concentrated in short positions was adding a bearish undertone to sentiment. Additionally, analysts cautioned that bearish pressures from large holders and short-position accumulation are warning signals — the risk is that if macro or regulatory news turns negative, XRP could test lower supports.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.