The Trade Desk sees a dip — What is pressuring the stock

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The Trade Desk slides 5.87% today

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Jainam Mehta

26.02.2026

The Trade Desk sees a dip — What is pressuring the stock — The Trade Desk slides 5.87% today

The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) is trading at $23.68, marking a daily decline of 5.87%. The price remains well below the MA-20 ($27.03), MA-50 ($33.00), and MA-200 ($53.09), reflecting continued selling pressure across all major timeframes.

TTD price prediction

24H 0.33%

$21.1

48H -1.33%

$20.75

7D -1.85%

$20.64

1M -8.37%

$19.27

3M 5.85%

$22.26

6M -39.61%

$12.7

12M -70.19%

$6.27

Detailed

Current price: $ 21.03 0.4700 2.29%

Closed 06/04

Daily range 20.63

21.87

Weekly range 20.05

23.57

Highlights

The Trade Desk reported 2025 revenue of $2.9 billion and GAAP net income of $443 million, with Q4 revenue up 14% year-over-year to $847 million, topping consensus.
The board expanded share repurchase authorization to $500 million after completing ~$1.4 billion in buybacks during 2025, and issued Q1 2026 guidance for at least $678 million in revenue.
TTD trades at $23.68, well below key moving averages (MA-20 $27.03, MA-50 $33.00, MA-200 $53.09), with strong bearish momentum and critical support at $21.31.

Strong earnings beat offset by share buyback expansion and cautious price action

The Trade Desk reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2025, with revenue reaching $2.9 billion and GAAP net income of $443 million. Fourth-quarter revenue increased 14% year-over-year to $847 million, exceeding consensus expectations, and adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $1.2 billion at a 41% margin. The board expanded its share repurchase authorization to $500 million after completing approximately $1.4 billion in buybacks during 2025, and guidance for at least $678 million in Q1 2026 revenue with $195 million in adjusted EBITDA was released as well, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, views TTD as technically and fundamentally weak. He notes selling pressure is evident, with the price consistently below all relevant moving averages and momentum indicators showing deep oversold readings. Despite above-consensus Q4 results and a hefty share buyback, the market response remained negative, reflecting investor skepticism about future growth. Kharitonov highlights that volatility spikes and failed intraday recoveries increase risk for any near-term rebound. He warns, "This setup still favors a defensive stance — I see little reason for optimism when sellers remain in absolute control."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees the selloff as an overreaction against a backdrop of solid fundamentals. He emphasizes that management has demonstrated strong confidence through record buybacks and ambitious earnings guidance for 2026. Karapetjanc acknowledges macro headwinds, but maintains that TTD’s scalable model and margin expansion provide a base for future rallies once sentiment stabilizes. He concludes, "The bullish structure remains intact for mid-term investors — current levels present attractive opportunities for those focused on fundamentals."

Jainam Mehta, market strategist, notes that TTD’s price action shows a classic gap-down followed by a modest intraday bounce, signaling heightened volatility. He observes that conflicting momentum signals and strong support near $21.31 offer tactical setups for short-term traders. Mehta believes a quick rebound is possible if price holds above recent lows, but warns of downside risk if sellers break this band. He says, "I’d watch for an intraday reversal or momentum shift near $21.31 — a failure there could open a fresh leg down."

Oversold momentum persists as gap down meets volatile intraday rebound

TTD is trading at $23.68, which is well below the MA-20 ($27.03), MA-50 ($33.00), and MA-200 ($53.09). This setup confirms persistent downward pressure from sellers across short-, medium-, and long-term horizons, with the nearest Ichimoku dynamic resistance at $30.37. Momentum remains decisively negative, with both MACD and ADX pointing to strong bearish conditions. Daily and weekly RSI as well as CCI are deep into oversold territory, and Stoch RSI on the daily also indicates overbought exhaustion, highlighting an extended stretch for sellers. Intraday BBP confirms sellers dominate, while the Awesome Oscillator does not reinforce the trend. The stock gapped down sharply at the open (from $25.16 to $21.12), then rebounded to sit near the upper half of today’s range ($21.12 — $23.90), indicating high volatility and substantial pressure after the open, followed by a modest intraday bounce. This intraday recovery modestly diverges from the overwhelmingly negative momentum signals, suggesting some attempt at stabilization despite strongly bearish conditions.

Previously it was reported that The Trade Desk Inc. is trading below its major moving averages, reflecting ongoing downside pressure, with persistent bearish momentum indicated by negative MACD and a high ADX confirming a well-established downtrend. Despite a modest daily gain and oversold readings on RSI and other oscillators suggesting a potential short-term rebound, primary resistance remains overhead while intraday dynamics continue to favor sellers.

Source of Data: TTD Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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