Boeing stock forecast for 2030: China aviation deal and MAX production ramp drive $350 outlook

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Boeing stock forecast for 2030

Boeing stock consolidates after testing lows

Boeing is at $231.11, a 4.08 percent gain today, seeking to settle above the $230 point after falling from highs around $260 in late 2025 and early 2026. The stock trades below nearly every EMA. The price is above the 20 EMA at $231.76 and near the 50 EMA at $230.20, while it is under the 100 EMA at $224.29 and 200 EMA at $215.26.

Highlights

Boeing trades near $231 after rebounding from $215 as investors watch for signs of stabilization.
Stock could reach $300–$380 by 2030 if the China order lands and MAX production ramps.
Boeing delivered 600 aircraft in 2025 and expects $1–$3B in free cash flow in 2026.

BA price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

The chart depicts a choppy downward price drop from the $260 highs, with the price repeatedly tested and broken at resistance levels. The recent rally from $215 lows has helped bring the stock back up above the 20 and 50 EMAs, but the structure remains poor. RSI at 48.70 sits at neutral as it recovers from oversold levels below 40.

The immediate interest is the struggle between the $230 level and the 20/50 EMAs. A hold above $230-232 for a long time would imply stabilization. Support currently hovers around the $224 region (100 EMA) and $215 (200 EMA and recent lows). Resistance layers of $240, $250, and $260.

500-jet China deal targets March 31 announcement

China used to make up about 25% of Boeing's orders. There are only about 133 Chinese airlines currently in business, which is only 2% of all active orders.

A deal for 500 jets would go from having very little exposure to having a lot of backlog in just one announcement. Aviation commentators say there needs to be a minimum of 1,000 imported planes for China to keep its fleet growing as well as replace existing planes.

Production ramps to 47 MAX per month by mid-2026

Boeing completed its acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems for about $8.3 billion, including debt. CFO Jay Malave noted that 2026 free cash flow guidance already factors in roughly $1 billion in unfavorable impact from integrating Spirit.

Boeing paid a $4.9 billion charge for the 777X program and postponed its first delivery until 2027 because of certification risks. Type certificates for the 737 MAX 7 and MAX 10 are likely to be awarded by the FAA in 2026.

Boeing has climbed recently from $215 lows to $231 ahead of an upcoming March 31 China summit on a 500-jet order announcement, with the stock testing the 20 and 50 EMAs as resistance after issuing 600 deliveries in 2025 and setting for positive free cash flow.

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