MSTR stock price forecast: $105.90 support comes into view as MSTR drops 8.16%

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Strategy drops 8.16% after Bitcoin sale

Highlights

Strategy Inc. broke its 'never sell' policy, selling 32 BTC for $2.5 million to meet STRC dividend requirements, reflecting urgent liquidity needs.
The company faces over $10.8 billion in unrealized Bitcoin losses and dwindling cash reserves at $900 million, raising risk of further asset sales.
Shares trade under heavy bearish momentum, with persistent pressure below major trend levels and high probability of a continued decline toward $105.90 support.

Bitcoin sale and cash depletion signal liquidity strain amid mounting losses

On June 1, 2026, Strategy Inc. disclosed its first sale of Bitcoin since 2022, selling 32 BTC for approximately $2.5 million to cover preferred stock (STRC) dividend obligations, marking a break from its prior 'never sell' policy and signaling increased liquidity pressures. Alongside this, STRC preferred shares have traded below par and the firm recorded an unrealized Bitcoin loss exceeding $10.8 billion, underscoring mounting financial stress from digital asset volatility. Strategy's cash reserves have also dropped to around $900 million after substantial debt repurchases and preferred stock issuance, further constraining financial flexibility and raising concerns over the potential need for additional asset sales.

Bearish momentum prevails as technical barriers and oversold signals align

The stock last closed below the MA-20 ($130.12), MA-50 ($143.09), and MA-200 ($202.94) levels, with the Ichimoku Kijun at $135.74 acting as immediate resistance. Downside momentum is confirmed by bearish readings on MACD and ADX. RSI reads 30.31, indicating an oversold state, while both CCI and BBP confirm excessive selling pressure. Stoch RSI is neutral, and the Awesome Oscillator aligns with the broader negative momentum; the session ended near today's low following heightened volatility.

Downside favored as reversal odds remain low barring key resistance reclaim

In the coming days, price action is expected to trade within a range of $105.90 to $131.72, representing the typical volatility band relative to current levels. Probabilities favor further downside, with a low likelihood of reversal under prevailing conditions. Should the price reclaim resistance at $135.74, a limited bullish scenario could develop, but a close below $105.90 would likely trigger renewed selling pressure and further decline.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Strategy Incorporated facing rising liquidity risk and eroding investor confidence. He notes the recent Bitcoin sale and deep unrealized crypto losses as clear red flags for balance sheet stability. Technically, the downtrend remains strong with support broken on all key moving averages. "Until price reclaims $135.74, I see no basis for a reversal and expect downside risk to persist."

Earlier, analysts noted that Strategy Inc. faced mounting bearish pressure due to technical weakness and escalating financial constraints linked to its digital asset exposure. The current analysis not only affirms this outlook but highlights ongoing liquidity stress, with a close below $105.90 now presenting a critical downside risk for investors to monitor.

Source of Data: MSTR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.