Microsoft shares jump, Meta slides after AI earnings split Big Tech
Big Tech's AI investment race is producing sharply different market reactions as investors reward clearer revenue gains and punish signs of pressure on cash generation. Microsoft shares rise after strong Azure and Copilot growth, while Meta stock falls after weaker-than-expected guidance and a steep drop in free cash flow.
Highlights
- Microsoft shares rise 8% after Q4 revenue beats estimates, driven by 43% Azure growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot subscriptions exceeding 30 million.
- Meta shares fall 8.5% post-earnings as free cash flow drops 91% year-over-year and Q2 guidance of $61 billion–$64 billion trails analyst expectations.
- Divergent stock moves underscore investor focus on immediate, visible returns from AI investments as Microsoft outpaces Meta in commercial monetization.
Cloud and AI results drive diverging moves
As reported by CNBC, Microsoft and Meta shares trade in opposite directions after their earnings reports, underscoring how investors are separating winners and laggards in the AI push.Microsoft shares jump about 8% after the company reports fourth-quarter revenue above analyst expectations. The performance is helped by 43% growth in Azure, while Microsoft says paid subscriptions for Microsoft 365 Copilot rise to more than 30 million, reinforcing confidence that its AI spending is translating into commercial demand.
Meta moves the other way, with its shares falling 8.5% after earnings miss expectations. The company also says free cash flow plunges 91% from a year earlier, adding to concerns about the cost of its AI buildout.
Guidance and cost pressure weigh on Meta
Meta says it expects quarterly revenue of between $61 billion and $64 billion, slightly below analysts' forecasts. That outlook suggests the company is still facing questions over whether its AI investments can support near-term sales growth at the pace investors want.Ben Barringer of Quilter Cheviot says Meta is still finding its footing in the AI landscape, with volatility affecting both costs and revenues. The contrast with Microsoft highlights a broader divide across the technology sector, where investors are increasingly demanding visible returns from heavy AI spending.
Our earlier coverage of Meta’s AI investment surge explained how Wall Street is increasingly separating AI spending that is already boosting results from spending that still needs to prove its payoff. We highlighted Microsoft’s strong Azure-driven momentum and steadier capex stance versus Meta’s rising infrastructure costs, weaker cash flow, and growing investor skepticism about the timeline for AI monetization.