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Rising tensions around Iran have caused headlines to change rapidly, but supply impacts are consistent. Bob Elliott highlights that the Strait of Hormuz is closed, resulting in daily supply shut-ins totaling 13 million barrels. He notes that physical prices are elevated and many product prices have reached all-time highs.
Despite fluctuating news cycles, Elliott emphasizes these supply disruptions remain a key factor affecting current energy markets.
In recent weeks, Bob Elliott pointed to rising global stagflation risks as an oil shock fueled inflation and weakened demand, citing flash PMI data in previous commentary. Earlier, he observed that strong household spending persisted in the early weeks of the month, helping to support economic growth, according to his market notes. These developments set the stage for current supply disruptions in energy markets.