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Prediction market odds fall again, Mark Moss notes

Prediction market odds fall again, Mark Moss notes
Prediction markets show risk-on move

Mark Moss, industry influencer, highlights renewed optimism in risk assets as macro bears are once again caught off guard by market developments.

Moss points out that while recent concerns over tariffs and geopolitical tensions with Iran had raised recession fears for the U.S. economy, prediction markets have not echoed this pessimism. According to Moss, the probability of negative outcomes has been significantly reduced, indicating that risk-on sentiment has returned.

Moss has previously recalled Hal Finney’s 2010 prediction that Bitcoin-driven companies could replace traditional banking services. He has also argued that only Bitcoin can withstand both AI-driven disruption and fiat debasement. His latest comments follow earlier statements on the resilience of digital assets under changing economic conditions.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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