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Walter Bloomberg, financial news account at X (Twitter) Account, reports that markets are increasingly optimistic about the economic outlook.
Recession fears in the U.S. are fading quickly, with prediction markets now assigning just a 19% chance of a U.S. recession this year. Goldman Sachs has further reduced its recession probability forecast to 25% and delayed its expectations for upcoming changes in Federal Reserve rates.
In a previous update, Walter Bloomberg reported that Fed's Kashkari emphasized the need for flexibility on future interest rate policy and cautioned that prolonged conflict could raise inflationary pressures (read more). Bloomberg also recently cited a Barclays forecast projecting the Federal Reserve would keep rates unchanged through 2026, with the first potential cut in March 2027 due to persistent inflation (see details). These assessments provide additional context as recession risks recede and market optimism grows.