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Richard Baldwin highlights that 2025 did not see the expected fragmentation of world trade despite geopolitical shocks. Instead, global trade became more open on average, with the U.S. trade deficit reaching an all-time high and China's goods exports hitting a record.
Baldwin has recently commented on other market shifts. He relayed Greg Ip's view that surging bond yields could have happened sooner, making deficit reduction less likely. The remarks come as markets react to fiscal and trade data from major economies.