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Yuriy Matso observes that margin debt as a percentage of M2 is currently close to the previous two major peaks seen in 2000 and 2007.
This comparison suggests current levels are approaching those of significant past market turning points.
Earlier this year, Yuriy Matso observed a renewed divergence between the S&P 500 and the percentage of its stocks trading above the 200-day moving average, as detailed in his previous analysis. He also reported a sharp drop in the VIX term structure, indicating market optimism at that time. These recent observations provide context for Matso’s latest assessment of elevated margin debt levels.