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Gary Black, managing partner and investor at The Future Fund, projects TSLA's second quarter adjusted EPS at $0.60, exceeding Wall Street's consensus estimate of $0.55.
He attributes his higher estimate to a stronger-than-expected auto gross margin excluding regulatory credits, at 18.8% compared to the Street's 18.4% estimate, and improved operating leverage in R&D and SG&A amid 480,000 deliveries in the quarter. Black also notes that TSLA shares are down 18% year-to-date.
Black has previously drawn attention to valuation differences in the tech sector, noting that investors pay 150 times 2026 EV/EBITDA for SPCX compared to 19 times for NVDA in a recent valuation comparison. He also tracked market moves when U.S. stocks slipped after weak Samsung earnings and AI chip stocks fell. These observations follow Black's ongoing commentary on sector-specific shifts and company fundamentals.