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Mike Shedlock, author / blogger at MishTalk, reports that the GDPNow final estimate for 2026 Q2 GDP is 1.5 percent.
He notes that this estimate is lower than the Econoday consensus of 2.3 percent.
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Shedlock has recently questioned labeling an 8% and falling recession probability as “doom porn” in his coverage of shifting economic sentiment, as detailed in a prior report. He also noted in another article that Federal Reserve minutes point to higher inflation risks and weaker employment projections. Both developments come amid continued monitoring of U.S. growth estimates.