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Joseph Wang: Markets now price in nearly four rate hikes after shifting expectations

Joseph Wang: Markets now price in nearly four rate hikes after shifting expectations
Markets now price in four hikes

Joseph Wang, macro analyst / blogger at Fed Guy, observes that the market is not only solidifying its expectation of an interest rate hike in September but is also now pricing in a more aggressive rate hike cycle totaling almost four hikes.

This is a notable shift from just last week, when the market had been pricing in only two hikes.

Wang recently said that AI-related debt is not displacing U.S. Treasuries, with dealer holdings and swap spreads remaining stable. He has also questioned whether the Federal Reserve’s third mandate on long-term interest rates involves input from the White House. His earlier commentary focused on policy drivers behind moves in U.S. rates and Treasury markets.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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