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E.J. Antoni reports that the Paychex small business jobs index increased fractionally for September but continues to stay below the 100 threshold for the seventeenth consecutive month.
This prolonged period below 100 suggests there has been no net job growth among small businesses during this time.
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Antoni previously reported that initial U.S. unemployment claims are slightly above 200,000, noting the persistence of steady hiring activity despite recent firings in the labor market here. He also covered an update to the federal funds rate forecast by CLV Fed, which was based on seven specific monetary rules here. These updates provide context for current readings on small business job growth.