High-beta tech stock rallies often come before economic and earnings growth peaks, Michael Kantro notes

High-beta tech stock rallies often come before economic and earnings growth peaks, Michael Kantro notes
High-beta tech surges precede growth peaks

Michael Kantro observed that periods of strong gains in high-beta technology stocks tend to coincide with rebounds and broadening in macroeconomic and earnings-per-share (EPS) measures. He noted that each instance of a beta unwind has historically come before peaks in economic and EPS growth as well as market breadth, referencing previous such periods including 2020/2021, 2009, 2003, 1991, and 1987.

Earlier this year, Michael Kantro noted that the S&P 500 Macro Select index had climbed nearly 30% year to date, outperforming both cap-weighted and equal-weighted benchmarks (link). He also highlighted an ongoing rise in corporate margins, citing the impact of both cyclical and secular trends beyond just large-cap companies (link). These factors have been key components of his recent market commentary.

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