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Michael Kantro said he stopped producing S&P 500 targets more than two years ago due to what he described as increasingly concentrated market conditions.
He observed that most institutional investors now primarily engage in stock picking, and questioned the value of matching an index target to the S&P 500's current level when compared to technology-focused portfolio management.
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Kantro previously observed that the correlation between the cap-weighted and equal-weighted S&P 500 had fallen to 37%, calling attention to diverging performance within the index as detailed in an earlier analysis. He has also noted that high-beta tech stock rallies have often taken place ahead of peaks in economic and earnings growth, according to historical market trends he examined. These points contribute to his ongoing commentary on market structure and sector leadership.