Technical Analysis and Market Strategy by Michael Kantro
AI narrative evolves with falling yields, Michael Kantro examines
Michael Kantro highlights the evolving narrative in markets, where artificial intelligence has dominated discussions in recent years. He examines the growing significance of falling yields and ...
Michael Kantro: 10-year yields expected to decline further as market and Fed diverge
Michael Kantro believes that 10-year U.S. Treasury yields will continue to fall and notes they are already down 30 basis points since peaking in May. He also points out a significant gap between ...
S&P 500 could be higher without oil spike and lower P/Es, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro highlights that the S&P 500 would have posted a further 5% gain year-to-date if price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios had not declined and if there had not been a spike in oil prices. ...
Michael Kantro: Inflation may cool faster than markets expect as commodity shocks fade
Michael Kantro suggests that inflation could be declining more quickly than financial markets anticipate. He examines key factors such as fading commodity shocks and persistent downward pressure ...
Index construction faces major shifts from passive flows, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro examines the profound impact of passive investing on index construction. According to Kantro, the mechanics of index rebalancing now involve hundreds of billions of dollars in ...
Michael Kantro: Next cycle may see growth accelerate and inflation decline
Michael Kantro forecasts that the next phase of the current economic cycle could involve accelerating growth, declining inflation, and falling interest rates. He acknowledges optimism regarding ...
Annual macro and markets research is made public, Michael Kantro reveals
Michael Kantro announces that the annual Field Guide To Macro and Markets has been made public. Professional investors interested in learning more about Piper Sandler's macro and markets ...
Michael Kantro: Market multiples plateau creates stock pickers environment
Michael Kantro outlines what defines a stock pickers market, noting that this typically occurs when market multiples reach a plateau. He observes that market multiples had been rising for much ...
New macro and markets guide published to help investment process, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro announced the publication of the 12th annual Field Guide to Macro and Markets aimed at helping investors refine their investment process and gain deeper insights into macroeconomic ...
Michael Kantro: Markets shift from growth focus to concern over interest rates and inflation
Michael Kantro examines the significant transformation currently underway in markets. He highlights the move away from a growth-driven approach toward one increasingly influenced by interest ...
10-year treasury yield shows persistence, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro discusses the ongoing persistence of the 10-year treasury yield in a segment on Making Money with Charles Payne, broadcast on Fox One. His focus is on market analysis related to ...
Michael Kantro: Market focus shifts to interest rates as indices stay near records
Michael Kantro highlights that interest rates have returned as the primary concern for markets. He observes that while headline indices remain close to all-time highs, underlying market dynamics ...
Market participants expect stock prices to rise, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro highlights that investor sentiment toward stocks remains positive, as indicated by continued bullishness. He refers to the latest survey data where the blue line represents those ...
Michael Kantro: Investors may find value in beaten-down sectors
Michael Kantro highlights that it may be time for investors to look for opportunities in sectors that have underperformed. The comment specifically refers to sectors represented by XRT, XHB, and ...
Housing recovery signals improvement for manufacturing, Michael Kantro indicates
Michael Kantro highlights that while housing remains weak, it no longer acts as the cyclical drag it was a few years ago. He notes that better housing activity data in 2025 was one of the ...
Michael Kantro: Rising rates remain bigger risk than growth
Michael Kantro underscores that since 2023, investors should pay closer attention to rising rates rather than growth concerns. According to Kantro, macroeconomic problems often first emerge in a ...
Small caps outperform as broader market trend emerges, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro, industry influencer, highlights that smaller-cap stocks have shown sustained gains over the past two quarters. He attributes this performance to a fundamental broadening of the ...
Michael Kantro: AI spending and EPS revisions drive broad market strength
Michael Kantro, industry influencer, highlights that AI spending remains at high levels and that the largest number of S&P 500 companies in five years have experienced upward earnings per share ...
Manufacturing and AI lead earnings growth, Michael Kantro notes
Michael Kantro, industry influencer, highlights that the manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) is rebounding, contributing further to the ongoing boom in capital expenditures tied to ...
Michael Kantro: Risk sentiment outweighs earnings growth in index performance
Michael Kantro, industry influencer, argues that changes in risk premium, reflecting broader macro risk sentiment, have a greater impact on index performance than changes in expected EPS growth. ...
Tech investors should focus on companies with strong earnings, tweet author notes
Tweet author, industry influencer, emphasizes the importance of fundamentals when investing in the technology sector. According to the post, the question for investors is not whether to overweight ...
