Potential OBR downgrade on growth if housing targets missed, Robert Colvile notes

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28.10.2026

Potential OBR downgrade on growth if housing targets missed, Robert Colvile notes — OBR may cut growth if targets missed

Robert Colvile raised the question of whether the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) will revise its growth outlook, given that housing targets linked to planning reform now appear unlikely to be met.

Colvile points out that a previous boost to growth projections came from planning reforms, but it has become clear those housing targets are not on track.

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Colvile has previously analyzed policy risks, warning that a proposed quadruple lock could result in a sharp tax increase for pensioners earning just above the threshold in a recent article. He has also highlighted support from Andy Haldane for the Conservative approach to boosting private sector growth in another report. These discussions reflect Colvile's ongoing focus on how government policies impact economic projections.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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