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Ben Casselman stated that it is difficult to make any confident forecasts about the economic outlook until the release of upcoming data. The comment referenced JOLTS, suggesting that the results will be critical in shaping economic expectations.
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Casselman recently reported that U.S. inflation rose 3.7 percent over the past year, with core prices increasing at a 3.4 percent annual rate, according to his analysis of September data. He has also noted that uncertainty about artificial intelligence makes it challenging to assess its economic effects in his coverage of A.I.’s impact. These factors contribute to the current caution around economic forecasting.