Nasdaq 100 losses seen staying short of bear market territory
The Nasdaq 100 remains under pressure after a steep selloff erased about $2.3 trillion in market value from its constituents. A recent survey indicates the benchmark is expected to avoid a 20% decline from its recent highs, even as the index stays more than 10% below its October peak.
Highlights
- Bloomberg's Markets Pulse survey of 139 participants finds most expect the Nasdaq 100 to avoid a bear market after last week's sharp tech selloff.
- The Nasdaq 100 remains over 10% below its October peak, but a majority of survey respondents anticipate losses staying contained or lasting until 2027.
- Survey results indicate persistent volatility and weakened confidence in large-cap tech stocks, while investors do not foresee an imminent prolonged downturn.
Survey outlook after the recent selloff
As reported by Bloomberg, the latest Markets Pulse survey shows most respondents expect the Nasdaq 100 to stop short of entering a bear market, commonly defined as a 20% drop from recent highs.The instant poll of 139 respondents was conducted from Nov. 6 to Nov. 9 after last week's sharp decline in technology stocks. Although the index rebounds on Monday, it still trades more than 10% below its October peak.
A majority of participants say losses are likely to remain contained in the foreseeable future, or that any deeper decline does not arrive until 2027. Taken together, those two groups exceed the remaining 48% of respondents who expect the index to fall further by year-end.
Implications for technology market sentiment
The survey points to cautious but not fully bearish sentiment around large-cap technology stocks, with investors signaling expectations for continued volatility without a decisive break into bear market territory.For the broader equity market, the findings suggest the recent rout weakens confidence but does not yet establish a consensus that the technology benchmark faces an imminent prolonged downturn. That leaves year-end performance tied closely to whether the sector can stabilize after the latest wave of selling.
Earlier, we reported that Janus Henderson and Centrifuge launched JQQQ, a blockchain-native fund offering digital access to the Nasdaq-100 Index.
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