XRP price prediction: Stabilizes near $1.84 as bearish trend loses speed

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XRP price update

Highlights

XRP trades near $1.84 after weeks of lower highs and sustained rejection at key EMAs.
RSI stabilizes in the mid-30s, signaling fatigue in selling rather than capitulation.
Derivatives data shows rising activity but long liquidations continue to dominate.

The market is no longer trending sharply lower, but buyers have yet to demonstrate enough conviction to challenge broken resistance. That balance has turned the current range into a potential inflection point rather than a continuation of the prior slide.

Bearish structure holds as EMAs cap recovery attempts

On the daily chart, XRP remains firmly below its major moving averages, keeping the medium-term trend tilted toward sellers. The 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs are tightly stacked between roughly $2 and $2.42, forming a dense resistance band that has capped every rebound since October. Each attempt to recover into this zone has failed quickly, reinforcing the pattern of lower highs that has defined price action for nearly two months.

XRP price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Price hovering near $1.84 places XRP close to the bottom of its recent range. Below current levels, technical support is limited until the $1.75 to $1.8 area, which previously acted as a consolidation base in late summer. The inability to reclaim even the 20-day EMA keeps rallies classified as corrective, not structural. As long as XRP remains pinned beneath the $2 handle, the broader narrative remains one of distribution rather than recovery.

Momentum fatigue replaces acceleration

Momentum indicators suggest that selling pressure is easing, even if control has not yet shifted. Daily RSI is holding in the mid-30s, a zone consistent with sustained weakness but also one that shows bearish momentum is no longer accelerating. Earlier in the decline, RSI pushed sharply lower during impulsive selloffs. The current stabilization points to more mechanical selling, often seen when trends begin to mature.

This shift does not guarantee a reversal, but it does reduce the probability of a straight-line continuation lower. Historically, similar RSI behavior in XRP has preceded periods of range trading or brief relief rallies, particularly when price is already extended below key moving averages.

Intraday stabilization contrasts with higher-timeframe weakness

Shorter timeframes add nuance to the picture. On the 30-minute chart, XRP has stabilized after a sharp flush toward $1.78. Supertrend has flipped marginally supportive near $1.79, and Parabolic SAR has moved beneath price, signaling that immediate downside pressure has eased. Price is attempting to hold above that short-term base, suggesting dip buyers are becoming more active.

However, the rebound so far lacks impulsive characteristics. XRP continues to stall beneath the $1.87 to $1.9 zone, where previous breakdowns occurred. Without sustained acceptance above that area, intraday strength remains corrective. The structure still favors consolidation rather than a trend reversal.

Flows and derivatives highlight mixed positioning

Spot flow data reinforces the cautious tone. XRP has recorded persistent net outflows for much of the year, reflecting ongoing distribution. A modest positive inflow around Dec. 19 stands out, but on its own it does not signal a regime change. Past XRP recoveries have required sustained inflows over multiple sessions, not isolated improvements.

Derivatives markets tell a similar story. Trading volume and options activity have risen, pointing to increased interest and hedging demand. At the same time, open interest has edged lower, indicating that some leveraged exposure is being reduced rather than rebuilt. Long-short ratios remain skewed toward long positioning among top traders, yet liquidation data shows longs absorbing most of the recent losses. That imbalance suggests traders are attempting to anticipate a bottom before structure has improved, a dynamic that often delays recovery.

Levels that define the next move

Technically, XRP remains vulnerable as long as it trades below $2 and the declining EMA band. A clean daily close above $2.05 would be the first sign that bearish control is weakening and that price could attempt to rotate toward higher resistance. Failure to hold current levels would keep focus on the $1.75 to $1.8 support zone, where a deeper test of demand could occur.

For now, XRP sits in a compression phase where downside risk is slowing but upside confirmation is missing. The market appears to be waiting for either a final flush that clears weak positioning or a catalyst strong enough to force acceptance back above broken levels.

In earlier coverage, XRP was highlighted as vulnerable after repeated failures to reclaim its short-term EMAs and persistent net outflows from spot markets. The current stabilization reflects momentum fatigue, but flows and structure continue to support a defensive outlook until key resistance levels are recovered.

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