Solana price prediction: SOL rangebound near $126 as ETF flows signal breakout

Traders Union
All News
Crypto News
SOL ETF flows support potential breakout

All news

Editors' Picks

Crypto News

Financial News

Market Voices

Billionaires

Companies

Broker News

Regulators News

Sholanke Dele

22.12.2025

Solana price prediction: SOL rangebound near $126 as ETF flows signal breakout — Solana holds near $126

Solana price is trading near $126 as of Monday’s European session, locked in a narrow 3.55% range that has persisted since last Friday between $128 and $123. The muted price action reflects a lack of fresh positioning, as both long and short volumes have stayed light. Weekend daily trading volume on Solana was the weakest in over 30 days, pointing to indecision across both retail and institutional flows.

Highlights

Solana holds near $126 as repeated retests of resistance raise breakout probability
Solana ETF inflows hit record 33-day streak, reinforcing strong institutional support under price
SOL price structure remains fragile below $130 amid multi-week downtrend.

This tight range follows a sharp three-week downtrend marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows on the 4-hour chart. That sequence culminated in an eight-month low at $117. Since then, Solana has attempted a modest recovery, but the move stalled inside a key supply zone formed during the last 4-hour bearish swing.

Solana price chart (Dec 2025). Source: Tradingview

That same supply zone is now being repeatedly retested by the price action. Reinforced by the cluster of the 20 and 50 EMAs on the 4-hour chart, it has so far capped further upside. However, each retest of this resistance zone weakens its hold and raises the likelihood of a breakout. A successful breakout would indicate a short-term trend shift and could end the streak of three consecutive weeks of losses.

Breakout depends on $128–$130 zone amid RSI bullish shift and ETF inflows

While price has moved little, Solana’s long-to-short ratio has crept higher from 3.2 to 4 during the weekend consolidation. Open interest has been flat, echoing the stalling price action, but does not suggest bearish pressure. RSI on the 4-hour chart has crossed into bullish territory and now sits at 53, a level that technically supports upward continuation. However, the daily RSI still sits at 40, showing that longer-term trend momentum has not yet flipped bullish.

On the fundamental side, institutional sentiment remains strong. Data from Farside indicates Solana ETFs have now attracted almost $700 million in cumulative inflows. The most recent additional inflow comes from Bitwise’s Solana ETF, which just logged its 33rd consecutive day of positive inflows, a record for the offering and a strong signal of steady institutional appetite.

If Solana breaks out above the $128 resistance, the next barrier lies at $130 near the 100 EMA. This level will be important for confirming whether the structure is truly transitioning from bearish to bullish. However, failure to break through the EMA resistance cluster could trigger a rejection that pulls price below last week’s low of $117.

In recent analysis, we discussed how Solana rebounded 4% to $124.5 after a CPI-driven selloff to $117. Flat open interest and falling volume showed weak support as RSI tested the 20 EMA.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.