-40.98% for Flow — Strong selling as blockchain faces technical and security woes

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Flow drops 40.98% today to $0.1021

Highlights

Flow's blockchain experienced a security incident affecting over $3.9 million, prompting an investigation by the Flow Foundation.
Major exchanges, including Bitget, suspended FLOW deposit services starting December 27, 2025, while official reports confirmed user deposits remained secure.
Flow validators deployed a fix to restore network operations, intensifying industry-wide scrutiny of blockchain infrastructure security.

Exchange reaction and scrutiny intensify after security incident disrupts network

Flow's blockchain suffered a major security incident, prompting an investigation by the Flow Foundation and leading major exchanges like Bitget to suspend FLOW deposit services starting December 27, 2025. Over $3.9 million was affected by the breach, though user deposits remained secure according to official reports. Flow validators swiftly deployed a fix and are working to restore network operations, while the event has led to increased scrutiny of blockchain infrastructure security across the ecosystem.

Persistent negative signals as extreme oversold meets dynamic resistance

Technically, Flow faces strong negative momentum as its price sits beneath all significant moving averages (MA-20, MA-50, MA-200) and the daily Ichimoku Kijun level of $0.1367, establishing a dynamic resistance with no nearby bullish support. MACD and ADX both signal active selling pressure on daily and weekly timeframes, while RSI (D1: 14.5; W1: 24.4), Stochastic RSI, and CCI are all registering extreme oversold conditions, though BBP's slight positivity only hints at minimal buyer interest. The Awesome Oscillator remains neutral and offers no counterbalance to the downward trend, as Flow opened today with a sharp gap lower and continues to trade within a highly volatile $0.0862–$0.118 intraday band. Oscillators indicate a divergence—deep oversold conditions versus persistent negative momentum—but have yet to signal any meaningful reversal.

Low upside odds persist as volatility and bearish bias dominate

Over the next five sessions, Flow is projected to fluctuate within a typical volatility band of $0.092 to $0.122 around the current level. The probability of a short-term price increase remains under 20%, with another downward move being more likely given prevailing momentum. The base case expects prolonged sideways movement within these depressed, volatile ranges. Any bullish scenario would require a breakout above resistance at $0.1367, but prevailing signals do not support an upside recovery, while ongoing pressure could bring another test of recent lows.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, senior analyst at Traders Union, sees Flow’s technicals under significant pressure but notes that fundamental trust has not collapsed after the recent security incident. He believes the swift response by validators and the transparency of the Flow Foundation help limit systemic fallout and support gradual sentiment recovery. Still, strong negative momentum and heavy exchange restrictions are likely to dominate in the short term. There's clear risk of further weakness until major resistance at $0.1367 is reclaimed. "Momentum is against Flow for now, but strong fundamentals and improving sentiment could create a recovery opportunity once the dust settles."

Previously it was reported that Flow (FLOW) continues to trade under pressure, remaining decisively below key moving averages and facing persistent bearish momentum across all major technical indicators, with support loosely indicated below its current level and the Ichimoku Kijun acting as dynamic resistance. Momentum signals—including a deeply negative MACD, high ADX, and an RSI near oversold—affirm a sustained downside bias, while elevated volatility confines FLOW within a lower trading band and limits the probability of a near-term rebound.

Source of Data: FLOW Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.