Ethereum price prediction: Can ETF inflows offset bearish trend? ETH gains 1.71%

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Ethereum rises 1.71% to $2,086.39 today

Highlights

Spot Ethereum ETFs saw $10.26 million in net inflows on February 13, signaling renewed institutional participation following prior outflows.
The Ethereum Foundation announced Tomasz Stanczak will step down as co-executive director at February's end, succeeded by Bastian Aue, and confirmed protocol upgrades Glamsterdam and Hegota for 2026.
Ethereum trades at $2,086.39, well below key moving averages (MA-20 $2,308.58, MA-50 $2,784.58, MA-200 $3,554.62), with strong bearish technical signals indicating likely continued price weakness.

Renewed institutional inflows and protocol upgrade news shift sentiment

Spot Ethereum ETFs saw $10.26 million in net inflows on February 13, indicating renewed institutional participation after previously recorded outflows. The same date saw heightened trading activity and accumulation by both whale investors and institutional holders. Additionally, the Ethereum Foundation will see Tomasz Stanczak step down as co-executive director at the end of February, with Bastian Aue being named as his successor, and developers confirmed protocol upgrades Glamsterdam and Hegota for 2026 as part of a shift to a biannual release cycle.

Downside trend holds as weak momentum conflicts with overbought signals

Technical momentum remains mixed for ETH: the daily MACD is decisively bearish and both daily and weekly RSI readings are below 40, underscoring a persistently bearish setup. The nearest dynamic resistance remains the Ichimoku Kijun at $2,474.15, with no major support from current moving averages. While ADX indicates a strong trend, it remains to the downside; daily Bull/Bear Power continues to show sellers dominating. Intraday, the daily Stochastic RSI is overbought, which could limit further gains in the very short term, while the Awesome Oscillator remains neutral, suggesting a lack of active confirmation for the prevailing trend. Oscillator divergence — with an overbought Stochastic RSI against a weak RSI/MACD — adds to short-term uncertainty.

Price floor threatened as volatility and bearish outlook dominate

For the next five sessions, the expected volatility band is between $2,050 and $2,170. With major indicators and moving averages all pointing lower, the likelihood of a price increase remains under 20%. Sideways trading within this range is the baseline scenario, while a break above $2,170 would require sustained buying and a resumption of bullish momentum. If selling pressure intensifies, ETH could slip below $2,050 and target new lows.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees persistent downside risk for Ethereum as price action remains below all key moving averages. He notes that although institutional inflows have picked up and development news is positive, technical momentum is still weak and sellers control the market. The baseline scenario is sideways trading between $2,050 and $2,170 unless strong buying emerges. "Until we see a decisive move above $2,170, I remain defensive and expect further weakness to dominate."

Previously it was reported that Ethereum’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin raised concerns about crypto-based prediction markets, highlighting a shift toward short-term speculative activities rather than long-term utility. Buterin argued that this trend, driven by retail participation and the pursuit of short-term revenue, could undermine the market’s potential for hedging and broader financial innovation, suggesting a future where prediction markets help stabilize purchasing power and reduce reliance on fiat currency.

Source of Data: ETH Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.