Bittensor price prediction: Will ecosystem growth sustain gains? TAO up 7.09%

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Bittensor jumps 7.09% to $188.70 today

Highlights

Bittensor's December 2025 supply halving cut daily TAO emissions by 50%, significantly increasing token scarcity and long-term value proposition.
TAO's staking rate surged above 75%, underscoring robust user demand, protocol engagement, and ecosystem growth, with Upbit listing boosting liquidity.
TAO is trading at $188.70 above its MA-20 ($173.92), with immediate support at $180 and resistance at $205, as short-term volatility persists.

Supply halving and new milestones drive demand and liquidity boost

Bittensor saw a significant supply halving in December 2025, cutting daily token emissions by 50% and increasing scarcity. The staking rate for TAO moved above 75%, highlighting strong user demand and protocol engagement. Recent milestones include the rollout of new subnets, expanded cross-chain bridges with Ethereum and Solana, the addition of cross-margin trading, and a major listing on Upbit that has improved TAO’s liquidity and ecosystem connectivity.

Mixed momentum signals as technical resistance limits further upside

The technical setup highlights mixed signals: price remains above the MA-20 but below the MA-50 and MA-200, which points to short-term bullish momentum but persistent medium- and long-term resistance. Immediate support is identified at the Ichimoku Kijun level near $180.75. The daily MACD maintains strong downside pressure while the ADX indicates a weak, non-trending environment. The RSI is moderately weak at 47, Stochastic RSI and Bull/Bear Power show overbought conditions with dominant buyers, and the Commodity Channel Index and Awesome Oscillator are both neutral.

Sideways outlook prevails as low breakout risk and selling pressure persist

Over the next five sessions, TAO is expected to trade within a typical volatility band of $170 to $205, reflecting the current price action. There is a low probability — less than 20% — of sustained gains, and downward pressure remains more likely given trend and momentum signals. The baseline scenario is for sideways trading between support at $180 and resistance at $205. A breakout above $205 may trigger renewed buying interest, while a bearish move below $170 could accelerate declines if market sentiment deteriorates.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Bittensor’s fundamentals improving due to strong staking demand and key ecosystem upgrades. He notes the technical landscape remains mixed, with upside limited by medium- and long-term resistance. Constructive engagement and increased scarcity set a positive foundation, but the price needs to overcome key technical barriers. "If TAO pushes above $205 on real volume, I expect renewed momentum and a shift toward bullish sentiment."

Last time, analysts noted that Bittensor (TAO) is trading above its short-term moving average but remains in a broader medium- and long-term downtrend, with mixed momentum indicators reflecting weak market conditions despite a strong daily gain. Immediate resistance is identified near the Ichimoku Kijun and the MA-50, while support is seen in the $150 to $156 zone, and daily volatility remains elevated amid largely negative longer-term signals.

Source of Data: TAO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.