Whale selling and weak investor support

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Arbitrum jumps 7.99% to $0.1014 today

Highlights

Whales sold over 60 million ARB recently, increasing market supply and triggering capital outflows despite robust ecosystem activity.
Arbitrum network fundamentals are strong, with monthly revenue up 28% to $1.2 million and active addresses rising 53% to 4.1 million.
$ARB trades below key moving averages (MA-20 at $0.1052, MA-50 at $0.1444, MA-200 at $0.2899) with major indicators signaling continued bearish pressure and a 5-day range of $0.091 to $0.111.

Whale sales offset network growth as support stagnates

In recent weeks, whales have sold over 60 million ARB, increasing market supply and prompting capital outflows. Despite strong on-chain activity including a 28% monthly rise in network revenue to $1.2 million and a 53% increase in active addresses to 4.1 million, investor support is limited and the network stands at a technical stabilization point. Sporadic short-lived rebounds have occurred, but broader interest has not matched the uptick in ecosystem activity.

Bearish momentum persists despite intraday gains and mixed signals

The $ARB price ($0.1014) is below both the MA-20 ($0.1052), MA-50 ($0.1444), and MA-200 ($0.2899), which suggests continued seller pressure across short-, medium-, and long-term perspectives. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 stands at $0.1132, above the current price, marking immediate resistance. Momentum signals remain mixed: MACD on D1 indicates strong bearish momentum, while ADX shows a robust downtrend. The Relative Strength Index is low (34.25) and Commodity Channel Index is negative (–71.08), both pointing to persistent weakness, though Stochastic RSI is currently overbought, indicating a possibility of a short-term pullback or fading bounce. Bull/Bear Power forecasts further seller dominance intraday, and the Awesome Oscillator remains neutral, not reinforcing the trend. The price saw a moderate gap up from the previous close ($0.0939 to $0.0997), now holding near the middle of today’s range ($0.0981–$0.1052) after gaining 7.99%. Intraday volatility is moderate, with early-session strength giving way to consolidation mid-range. Momentum readings and daily performance are in divergence, as today’s gains contrast with a prevailing bearish technical setup.

Decline risk outweighs upside as resistance caps price range

For the coming week, a typical 5-day price volatility band is estimated at $0.091 to $0.111, representing a ±10% range around current levels. The likelihood of further upward movement remains very low (under 20%), with the greater probability skewed toward a continuation of the decline as confirmed by major weekly indicators (Moving Averages, RSI, ADX, MACD). The base scenario is for $ARB to fluctuate sideways within this band. Upside would require a breakout above the immediate $0.113 resistance, while renewed losses could push the price below the $0.091 support zone and restore the downtrend.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees the current Arbitrum (ARB) setup as tactically challenging but not without potential. He notes that fundamental activity on-chain remains robust and overall network health is improving, yet broader investor sentiment and price structure remain weak. Karapetjanc believes whales are still driving further selling, capping momentum despite today’s positive move. For now, he expects sideways action unless ARB can break above $0.113 and sustain network growth narrative. "If bullish inflows return on stronger on-chain metrics and the price reclaims $0.113, ARB could surprise to the upside — for now, I see the base case as constructive consolidation within the $0.091–$0.111 range."

Previously it was reported that Arbitrum remains under persistent bearish momentum, trading below all major moving averages with key technical indicators such as the MACD, ADX, and RSI reflecting strong selling pressure and continued weakness. Immediate resistance is identified near $0.1145, with price action expected to remain constrained within a downward volatility band, and a low probability of a sustained upside move in the short term.

Source of Data: ARB Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.