XRP price prediction: Can oversold signals spark upside? XRP consolidates near $1.35

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XRP trades flat today at $1.35

Highlights

XRP spot ETF saw underperformance and the first weekly outflows since January, signaling diminished investor demand.
Ripple expanded ecosystem utility with a new lending protocol, while payment volume on RippleNet surpassed $100 billion and 40% of partners use XRP for bridging.
XRP trades below major moving averages and momentum indicators remain bearish, with an expected range of $1.35–$1.49 and low probability of a near-term price rebound.

ETF outflows and lending protocol launch shift XRP investor flows

XRP remains in focus after the launch of a spot ETF, which was followed by weaker fund performance and the first weekly outflows since January. At the same time, Ripple expanded the token’s use cases with a new lending protocol. XRP also continues to play an important role in Ripple’s payments ecosystem, with around 40% of RippleNet partners still using it as a bridge asset, while Ripple’s total processed payment volume has exceeded $100 billion.

Weak momentum and dominance by sellers amid oversold signals

XRP is trading well below its MA-20 ($1.3915), MA-50 ($1.5490), and MA-200 ($2.2092), signaling strong selling pressure in the short, medium, and long term. The Ichimoku Kijun at $1.4707 sits above the current price, acting as immediate resistance. Momentum remains weak, with both MACD and ADX at daily and weekly timeframes signaling a sell bias. Oversold readings from RSI and CCI suggest bearish pressure but indicate some risk of exhaustion, while Stochastic RSI is neutral. The negative Bull/Bear Power reading points to active seller dominance, and the Awesome Oscillator remains neutral, providing no trend confirmation. Daily price action shows virtually no gap at the open, little net change, and that XRP is positioned mid-range for the session, suggesting low intraday volatility and continued sideways consolidation after the open. Momentum indicators broadly reinforce this muted tone, though oscillators and momentum signals offer mild divergence between developing oversold conditions and dominant selling.

Sideways trade and bearish bias as volatility limits upside

For the coming five sessions, XRP is likely to trade within a typical volatility band of $1.35–$1.49, staying within 10% of the latest price in line with observed volatility. The probability of an upward move is very low (less than 20%), making a further price decrease more likely. The baseline scenario is a sideways corridor, with price fluctuating within the defined range amid weak momentum. A bullish breakout would require a sustained push above the $1.47 resistance area, while a bearish turn could see the price slipping below $1.35 with oversold signals deepening if sellers remain in control.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP facing sustained bearish momentum despite recent ecosystem developments and ETF-related news. The analyst believes technical signals are overwhelmingly negative, with the price firmly below moving averages and momentum indicators showing little chance for a strong rebound. He notes that oversold readings and low volatility hint at downside risk, with no immediate sign of reversal. "Until XRP can reclaim $1.47 and sustain above it, I remain defensive and see further weakness as the base case."

Previously it was reported that Ripple is shifting strategy to develop the XRP Ledger into a broader financial infrastructure, focusing on lending, stablecoins, and tokenized assets to increase on-chain activity and utility for XRP. The addition of a native lending protocol and the introduction of RLUSD stablecoin are expected to drive demand for XRP and position the network to compete in the rapidly growing tokenization and DeFi markets.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.