KAS shows mixed momentum amid oversold RSI and downward pressure: weekly report

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Kaspa slips 1.01% this week

Highlights

Kaspa is under persistent medium- and long-term selling pressure, trading below key moving averages and dynamic resistance levels.
Technical indicators show weak momentum with strong sell signals dominating, and volatility at 8.49% reinforces a broadly bearish outlook.
Kaspa is likely to consolidate within the $0.0306–$0.0362 range over the next week, with downside movement more probable than upside.

Bearish momentum persists with no technical reversal this week

Technical signals on the weekly (W1) chart remain bearish. The price remains under both the MA-20 and MA-50, with the MA-20 at $0.0360 acting as the closest dynamic resistance. Momentum indicators reinforce bearish sentiment: the MACD gives a Strong Sell, the ADX issues a Sell, and the RSI at 40 is also a Sell. The Stochastic RSI indicates overbought conditions, the CCI appears neutral, and Bull/Bear Power skews in favor of sellers. Weekly volatility is 8.49%, and the price sits near the center of its 7-day range, suggesting ongoing pressure from above.

Downside bias set to continue as technical barriers cap upside

Looking to the next 7 days, the likely trading corridor is $0.0306 to $0.0362, based on weekly volatility and a continued bearish technical setup. None of the four main indicators provide Buy or Strong Buy signals, placing the probability of upside at less than 20%. The baseline scenario is continued sideways to downward movement within this range. If the market unexpectedly turns bullish, a test of $0.0362 is possible, but sellers are likely to drive price toward $0.0306 if downward momentum persists.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union expert, sees clear signs of persistent bearish pressure on Kaspa (KAS) this week, but notes the asset remains within a well-defined corridor that could offer tactical setups for nimble traders. He observes that sellers have the upper hand, keeping price below both medium- and long-term moving averages. Momentum readings, including a Strong Sell MACD and a bearish RSI, reinforce market skepticism, yet volatility and range structure leave room for opportunities. Karapetjanc believes that despite a downside bias, a surprise shift in sentiment could allow KAS to challenge resistance near $0.0362 in the coming week. "I remain confident that market dynamics will eventually reward disciplined positioning — for now, I am watching for any signs of strength that could ignite a rebound above $0.0360."

Previously it was reported that Kaspa was experiencing persistent bearish momentum, with technical indicators pointing to limited near-term recovery prospects. The current analysis reaffirms this outlook amid fresh signs of sustained selling pressure, highlighting $0.0306 as the critical level to watch for any renewed downside risk in the week ahead.

Source of Data: KAS Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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