UNI edges higher with resistance forming near $3.25: weekly forecast

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Uniswap gains 17.31% this week

Highlights

UNI remains below key moving averages, reflecting sustained medium- and long-term downside momentum despite recent rebound.
Momentum indicators are broadly bearish or neutral, signaling weak trend strength and dominant selling pressure even after a brief recovery.
UNI is likely to consolidate between $2.75 and $3.25 with less than 20% probability of an upside breakout this week.

Consolidation zone persists as technicals turn bearish to neutral

On the weekly (W1) chart, UNI continues to face resistance from its MA-20 at $3.3352, with the price stabilizing below the MA-50 and MA-200. Support is established around $2.75, while resistance is near $3.25, forming a consolidation zone. Weekly indicators present a bearish to neutral picture: the MACD shows a strong sell, ADX is neutral (signaling weak trend strength), and both RSI and Commodity Channel Index reside in the 'Sell' zone. The Bull/Bear Power indicates oversold conditions, while Stochastic RSI provides a rare 'Strong Buy' counter-signal, suggesting technical rebound risk amid broader selling.

Sideways bias likely as resistance and weak momentum limit upside

For the next 7 days, UNI is expected to trade within a range of $2.75 to $3.25, with low odds of a breakout in either direction. The base case scenario is sideways consolidation, with brief rebounds possible but capped by resistance at $3.25 and pressured by dynamic resistance from the MA-20. Should selling pressure return, UNI could test support at $2.75. In the less likely bullish scenario, conviction above $3.25 may invite further recovery, but confirmation from weekly indicators is currently lacking.

Jainam Mehta, market strategist, observes that despite UNI rebounding 17.31% this week, it remains firmly capped by the weekly MA-20 at $3.3352 and shows persistent downside on longer-term indicators. He notes that the lack of clear buy signals from the MACD, ADX, and RSI favors a bias toward continued consolidation or further declines, although the oversold environment and a strong Stochastic RSI signal create potential for brief tactical rebounds. Mehta sees the likely trading range confined to $2.75–$3.25, with low odds of a sustained breakout in either direction this week. "I remain scenario-neutral for UNI — as long as the $3.25 resistance holds, rallies look vulnerable to renewed selling pressure in the coming week."

Earlier, analysts noted that Uniswap was experiencing mixed technical momentum and subdued upside prospects despite encouraging regulatory signals. Fresh weekly data reinforces this cautious outlook, with continued consolidation below major moving averages and a prevailing risk of further volatility should support at $2.75 come under renewed pressure.

Source of Data: UNI Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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