Aptos drops as sellers keep control in short-term trend

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Aptos drops 7.34% as volatility rises

Highlights

Aptos has surpassed 5 billion transactions with 99.99% uptime and 30ms block times, highlighting robust network reliability for institutional and high-frequency use cases.
BlackRock’s BUIDL fund and Aptos Labs’ push for tokenized assets have driven institutional engagement despite persistent price weakness.
APT/USD remains under strong bearish pressure, trading below key technical levels with a projected 1–2 day range of $0.6124–$0.6496 and a 77% probability of further downside.

Institutional traction grows despite reliability milestones amid selling pressure

Aptos has recorded the processing of over 5 billion transactions while maintaining approximately 30-millisecond block times and 99.99% uptime since its mainnet launch, according to Cryptopotato. These operational milestones confirm the network’s reliability and may appeal to both institutional participants and high-frequency transactional use cases. Recent institutional engagement was highlighted as BlackRock’s BUIDL fund expanded activity on the Aptos network, with further focus on tokenized asset growth and infrastructure development for on-chain finance publicly discussed by Aptos Labs leadership, though price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Bearish momentum persists as price rejects multiple resistance levels

On the technical front, APT/USD is exhibiting sustained weakness, with the price trading below the MA-20 ($0.6513) and MA-50 ($0.6587) on the hourly chart and remaining well below the MA-200 ($1.1475) on the daily chart. The Ichimoku Kijun is positioned at $0.653 and is acting as immediate resistance, while momentum indicators like the MACD and ADX confirm strong bearish conditions on intraday frames. The RSI is deep in oversold territory at 34.25, corroborated by a similarly oversold CCI reading, while the Stoch RSI is neutral. Bull/Bear Power indicates seller dominance, and the Awesome Oscillator’s direction aligns with the persistent downward trend.

Further losses likely as downside risk outweighs rebound potential

In the next one to two days, APT/USD is expected to trade within a typical volatility band between $0.6124 and $0.6496. The probability scenario favors continued downside movement, with a 77% chance of further decline, while a recovery is deemed much less likely at 23%. If price breaks below the $0.6124 support, increased selling could push the asset lower, while a bullish case would require a clean break above the $0.653 resistance to trigger potential stabilization or a rebound.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees strong technical weakness in Aptos despite impressive network statistics and institutional engagement. He believes the persistent price action below all key moving averages and bearish intraday momentum indicate that downside risks continue to dominate. Until the $0.653 resistance is reclaimed, any bullish case remains invalidated. "With the current setup and no sign of reversal, I remain defensive and see further declines as the base case for APT/USD in the near term."

Earlier, analysts noted that Aptos was exhibiting persistent bearish momentum amid sustained technical and structural headwinds. The current analysis reaffirms this bearish outlook with fresh evidence of continued price weakness, suggesting traders should closely monitor for a potential break below the immediate $0.6124 support as a downside risk in the short term.

Source of Data: APT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.