XRP approaches critical support after five-day rally
AI payment activity on the XRP Ledger has surpassed 1 million transactions, while whale transfers to Binance have fallen to a two-month low. However, XRP's recovery will depend on whether it can hold the key $1.12 support level.
The biggest positive development for XRP has been the rapid growth of AI-powered payments on the XRP Ledger. The number of transactions executed by autonomous AI agents has exceeded 1 million. According to RippleX Head of Engineering Ayo Akinyele, that figure could grow to 10 million relatively quickly and eventually reach 100 million over the next several years.
The expansion of this ecosystem increases the potential use of the XRP Ledger for automated payments related to data, computing power, and digital services.
Another positive signal came from declining XRP transfers by large holders to Binance. The 30-day volume of such transfers fell 34.4% to 947.4 million XRP, the lowest level in two months. This may indicate weaker selling intentions among whales, although it does not, by itself, confirm the beginning of a sustained uptrend.
Rebound scenario depends on $1.12 support
From a technical perspective, XRP continues to lag behind Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of bullish momentum. After five consecutive days of gains, the probability of a short-term correction has increased noticeably.
The key support level is $1.12, where the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is currently located. A decisive break and close below this level would weaken the current technical structure and increase the probability of a decline toward the next support near $1.05.
For now, the base-case scenario remains a rebound from the 50-day SMA. If buyers successfully defend $1.12, XRP could retest the recent local high near $1.18.
XRP remains dependent on broader crypto sentiment
The growth of AI payment activity and lower exchange inflows from large holders have improved XRP's fundamental backdrop. However, these factors have yet to generate enough demand for XRP to consistently outperform Bitcoin and Ethereum.
The next stage of the recovery will depend on whether the expansion of the XRP Ledger translates into meaningful growth in real network demand. Until then, the token is likely to remain highly sensitive to broader crypto market sentiment and the price action of the largest digital assets.
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