The Graph weekly forecast: Weak structure persists with resistance capped by the 20-day moving average

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The Graph slides 9.22% this week

Highlights

The Graph is down 9.22% over the past week, showing pronounced underperformance as it remains below key technical averages.
Momentum indicators remain strongly bearish, with persistent weakness and price activity deep in oversold territory on the daily chart.
Expected trading range is $0.01315 to $0.01547 over the next week, with a high probability of further declines unless $0.01632 resistance is reclaimed.

Bearish momentum persists as oversold signals and weak structure dominate

On the daily chart, the structure remains weak with a sustained move lower and a firm trend, as indicated by the 15.53% weekly volatility. Key momentum signals support the bearish view: the RSI is deep in the oversold zone at 22.37 and the MACD continues to point down. Nearest support is at $0.01417, with resistance aligned to the 20-day moving average at $0.016323 and the Ichimoku Kijun acting as a further ceiling at $0.016625. On the weekly timeframe, the broader backdrop stays firmly negative, suggesting momentum could persist in the coming sessions.

Further losses likely over the week as support faces renewed tests

Over the next 7 days, the expected range is $0.01314586 to $0.01547413. There is a very high probability (more than 80%) of further declines, and a very low probability (less than 20%) of a rebound. The base case sees the pair holding just above $0.01417 support and drifting within the quoted range. A move above $0.016323 would be needed to challenge resistance and open to recovery. If $0.01417 is lost, the path opens for deeper downside toward the lower end of the range.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees this week’s technical backdrop for The Graph as one of persistent weakness, but also potential for tactical opportunity. Despite clear momentum on the downside and price lingering well below key moving averages, he notes that strong support at $0.01417 provides a possible base for stabilization. With sentiment at extreme lows and volatility elevated, Karapetjanc believes aggressive sellers may exhaust themselves above this zone, opening the door for a rebound if resistance at $0.016323 is reclaimed. He maintains that disciplined traders can find attractive entries for a tactical recovery amid continued volatility. "Although downside risks are still elevated, I see opportunities emerging for a recovery play should support hold above $0.01417 this week."

Earlier, analysts noted that The Graph remained in a prolonged bearish trend with persistent downside momentum and little evidence of recovery. Fresh technical signals in the current setup reinforce this negative outlook, making the $0.01417 support a critical level for traders to monitor as a breakdown could accelerate further declines.

Source of Data: GRT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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