AVAX price prediction: Can rising network activity fuel a break above $11.50?

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AVAX holds above $11 as activity improves

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Mykhailo Ihnatenko

06.10.2026

AVAX has moved back above the key $11 support level just as activity across the Avalanche network is beginning to improve. That strengthens the bullish case again, although price still needs to clear nearby resistance before the move can accelerate.

AVAX price prediction

24H -0.24%

$8.45

48H 0%

$8.47

7D -4.37%

$8.1

1M -19.24%

$6.84

3M -36.01%

$5.42

6M -49.59%

$4.27

12M -13.22%

$7.35

Detailed

Current price: $8.47 0.24 2.93%

Real-time Data 12:27

Daily range 8.42

8.66

Weekly range 8.00

9.16

According to DeFiLlama, seven-day DEX volume has risen to $1.136 billion from roughly $954 million a week earlier, an increase of about 19.1%. Daily DEX volume currently stands near $141 million.

Activity in perpetual markets has also picked up. Seven-day perps volume increased from around $140.8 million to $169.7 million, up 20.6% week-on-week. That suggests the improvement in activity is extending beyond the spot market and into broader trading across the ecosystem.

Avalanche TVL is currently around $648 million, with the past 24-hour change limited to roughly -0.1%. In other words, network liquidity remains broadly stable while trading volumes are already accelerating.

AVAX regains bullish structure above $11

AVAX has reclaimed the key $11 support level and formed a bullish flag on the daily chart, bringing the bullish setup back into focus.

The key trigger now sits at $11.50. A decisive breakout and sustained move above that level could accelerate the advance towards $13.50, where an important resistance zone has been in place since November 2025.

The current setup would be invalidated by a move back below $11 followed by a sustained hold under that level. In that case, the bullish flag would lose validity, with the $10.50–9.75 area becoming the nearest support zone and short-term downside target.

As long as AVAX remains above $11, buyers retain the advantage, but a break above $11.50 is still needed to provide more reliable confirmation that the momentum can continue.

On-chain strength still needs price confirmation

The main positive signal is the rise in trading activity without any meaningful deterioration in network liquidity. DEX and perps volumes are accelerating, while stablecoin supply remains stable, creating a healthier backdrop for a continued AVAX recovery.

Even so, the on-chain improvement still needs confirmation from price action. If AVAX fails to clear $11.50, stronger volumes alone may not be enough to drive a move towards $13.50.

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