XRP technical analysis: Seller pressure targets $1.2805 support

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XRP drops 5.1% today to $1.29

Highlights

Ripple has partnered with Stripe-owned Privy to expand programmable wallet infrastructure on the XRP Ledger.
The initiative targets embedded wallet creation and developer tools to support AI agent-driven payments on the network.
XRP/USD trades below key moving averages with technical indicators showing dominant bearish momentum and an expected range of $1.268 to $1.3725 over the next sessions.

Ripple and Stripe-owned Privy target network expansion amid selling pressure

On October 14, 2026, Ripple announced a partnership with Stripe-owned Privy to expand programmable wallet infrastructure on the XRP Ledger, according to Kucoin. This collaboration aims to support embedded wallet creation, facilitate AI agent-driven payments, and offer enhanced tools for developers, broadening the functionality and appeal of the XRP network. Although these enhancements are designed to increase developer engagement and user adoption, price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Seller dominance as bearish signals intersect with oversold readings

Technically, XRP/USD trades below the MA-20 at $1.3335 and MA-50 at $1.3552 on the hourly chart, while holding above the MA-200 at $1.2805. The Ichimoku Kijun sits at $1.3356 and acts as immediate upside resistance. MACD and ADX both flash sell signals, with RSI at 34.82 indicating weak momentum. CCI suggests oversold conditions, Stochastic RSI is neutral, and Bull/Bear Power remains negative, supporting seller dominance. The Awesome Oscillator aligns with a sell signal, in line with the current price trend.

Downside risk heightened as key supports face renewed pressure

Over the next two to three sessions, XRP/USD is expected to trade within a typical volatility band of $1.268 to $1.3725. The probability of an upside move is considered very low, while further declines are more likely. If the MA-200 fails to hold, a retest of the $1.268 area or lower may follow; however, a breakout above the Kijun resistance at $1.3356 could provide an entry for late buyers.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Senior Analyst at Traders Union, sees the recent Ripple–Privy partnership as a meaningful step for XRP's ecosystem. He believes expanded wallet infrastructure and new developer tools reflect strong fundamentals, even as price action remains weak and technicals are under pressure. Karapetjanc expects negative momentum in the near term, but views functional improvements as likely to attract interest over time. "If the price holds above the MA-200 at $1.2805, I see potential for recovery as sentiment catches up with fundamentals."

Earlier, analysts noted that digital asset markets including XRP experienced heightened liquidations and downside pressure amid uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy. The current technical outlook reaffirms persistent vulnerability for XRP, with traders advised to closely monitor the MA-200 as a pivot point for potential further declines or a possible reversal.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.