AAVE trades near $262 as bullish momentum cools

AAVE trades near $262 as bullish momentum cools
AAVE hovers near wedge support after breakout as momentum fades near 200 EMA

​AAVE is trading near $261.93 after breaking out of a descending channel earlier this week. While this signaled the end of its short-term downtrend, the asset is now facing resistance at the 200 EMA and consolidating within a rising wedge pattern. 

Highlights

 - AAVE trades near $261.93 after channel breakout and wedge formation

 - RSI slips to 55.64, reflecting weakening bullish momentum

 - Exchange netflow turns negative as 4.8K AAVE exits exchanges

The structure reflects a typical pause phase, where bulls attempt to sustain momentum but face mounting overhead pressure. A decisive move is likely imminent, depending on whether the lower wedge boundary holds.

Wedge formation emerges after bullish breakout

After a clean breakout from a descending channel that extended from late July, AAVE climbed above its 20, 50, and 100 EMA levels on the 45-minute chart. This upward move marked a short-term trend reversal, but the rally is now stalling as price enters a rising wedge formation. 

AAVE price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

This pattern typically signals consolidation before either a breakout continuation or a breakdown. The asset is trading just above the wedge’s lower boundary near $261.50, while the 200 EMA at $266.46 looms overhead as a key resistance. RSI has slipped from a peak near 60 to 55.64, suggesting that buying strength is cooling.

Should the wedge fail to hold, immediate downside could extend to $259.40 or even lower, testing demand zones formed during the earlier breakout. A breakout above $266 with volume would be needed to resume upward momentum, with potential to retest the $270–272 region.

Netflow data points to a moderate bullish bias

On-chain activity adds a layer of cautious optimism. A net outflow of approximately -4.8K AAVE tokens from exchanges was recorded, indicating that investors may be withdrawing assets into private wallets, often a sign of accumulation or reduced sell-side pressure. This aligns with the broader uptrend still intact on higher timeframes. However, such outflows are not always followed by immediate price surges. If bullish continuation is to be confirmed, price must reclaim $266 on strong volume.

In our earlier coverage, we highlighted the risk of downside continuation while AAVE was trapped inside the descending channel. Since breaking out, the asset has shown strength but now faces its next test within the wedge. Until $266 is reclaimed, price remains vulnerable to short-term pullbacks.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.
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