HBAR latest news: price tests resistance at $0.2299 — volatility persists, investors cautious

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Hedera Gains 2.57% Today to $0.21

Highlights

Hedera (HBAR) trades at $0.2143, up 2.57% intraday, below MA-20 ($0.2308) and MA-50 ($0.234) but above MA-200 ($0.2011), indicating ongoing short- and medium-term selling pressure with long-term support.
Technical signals are mixed with HBAR consolidating near $0.22, supported by rising ADX trend strength, but weak RSI (35), CCI, and a neutral MACD highlight persistent bearish sentiment since mid-September.
Short-term HBAR is expected to remain range-bound between $0.1895 and $0.2089 with 80% probability of further gains if it breaks above $0.2300; a move below $0.2010 risks downside to $0.1895.

Stable investor flows amid consolidation and rising bearish sentiment

Hedera's native token is consolidating near the $0.22 support level amid mixed technical signals and broader cryptocurrency market volatility. Despite posting a 2.69% gain on September 29, 2025, trading activity reflects cautious but stable investor interest in the absence of major new corporate developments. Recent trends show the token entering a bearish phase after mid-September, with growing bearish sentiment in futures markets and continued regulatory engagement supporting its position among leading crypto projects.

Conflicting momentum signals cap price between resistance and day’s midpoint

Technically, HBAR faces immediate resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun line near $0.2299 and remains pressured under both the MA-20 and MA-50. There is ongoing trend strength per ADX, but MACD is neutral on the daily chart. Momentum indicators such as RSI (35) and CCI remain in lower bands, suggesting continued weakness, while Stoch RSI is neutral around 24. Bull/Bear Power is neutral and the Awesome Oscillator points to near-term bearishness, reflecting conflicting signals as the price is positioned mid-range between the day’s high ($0.2167) and low ($0.2138) with moderate volatility.

Upside probability dominates if resistance breaks while range persists

In the short term, HBAR is expected to trade between $0.1895 and $0.2089, with an average level around $0.1992. The probability of further gains exceeds 80%, as the majority of weekly technical signals are bullish. A decisive break above $0.2300 would open the way to $0.234 and higher, while a drop below $0.2010 increases risk for downside toward $0.1895. The base case remains a range-bound price action near $0.20.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, believes HBAR is under clear technical pressure, with the price consolidating below its short- and medium-term moving averages but taking support from the MA-200. He notes that while the token shows some signs of resilience near the $0.22 range, continued lack of major developments and growing bearishness in futures markets limit the immediate upside potential. Kharitonov sees the base case as a range-bound scenario, with any bounce dependent on breaking through key resistance at $0.2300. "Given the conflicting signals and ongoing weakness, I remain defensive on HBAR until the price decisively reclaims $0.2300."

Previously it was noted that institutional interest in HBAR is increasing following ETF filings and new enterprise use cases. Last time we reported that price is expected to consolidate within a sideways or lower bias as breakout risks remain subdued.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.