Sei price prediction: Deeper decline ahead? Bulls need $0.2389 breakout

Traders Union
All News
Crypto News
Sei drops 21.80% today on selloff

Highlights

Sei (SEI) fell 21.80% to $0.2206, trading below its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, indicating multi-term downward pressure.
On-chain integration of BlackRock and Brevan Howard tokenized funds expands Sei’s institutional settlement role and boosts composability with stablecoins and DeFi.
Bearish momentum prevails, with RSI at 27.4 and SEI likely to average $0.2585 over five days, facing less than 20% probability of price increase.

Institutional fund flows drive adoption as ecosystem momentum builds

Tokenization is gaining traction on Sei as the on-chain integration of BlackRock and Brevan Howard tokenized funds expands its role as an institutional settlement layer. This move enhances SEI’s composability with stablecoins and DeFi, supporting adoption by treasury operations. Galaxy Digital’s major investment in crypto infrastructure and technical milestones like reclaiming key moving averages reflect broader blockchain ecosystem momentum. Investors should distinguish these developments from unrelated volatility in Solaris Energy (SEI), which does not impact Sei’s blockchain project.

Bearish momentum persists amid resistance challenges and oversold signals

Technically, the nearest dynamic resistance is at the Ichimoku Kijun line around $0.2389, with dynamic support limited beneath current prices. Momentum signals are mixed — the daily MACD remains negative, highlighting a bearish bias, yet ADX indicates strong trending conditions often linked to volatility, and daily and weekly trends show divergence. RSI at 27.4, along with Stoch RSI and CCI, all point to oversold territory, while BBP is neutral, signaling no clear intraday dominance by buyers or sellers. High intraday volatility and a significant downside gap at the open support a bearish tone, though diverging signals reveal conflict between oversold stabilization and ongoing selling.

Downside scenario prevails as breakout risk stays limited

Over the next five days, SEI is likely to trade between $0.2421 and $0.2748, averaging near $0.2585. The probability of a price increase remains very low at less than 20%, suggesting downside pressure dominates. A sideways baseline scenario appears most plausible, with bulls needing a sustained break above $0.2389 to shift the bias. Should SEI fall below $0.208, a deeper decline with tests of fresh local lows could unfold.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees SEI under pronounced pressure technically, with the price well below key moving averages and momentum indicators showing a strong bearish bias. Despite growing institutional adoption and notable blockchain milestones, technical signals remain defensive, with oversold conditions yet no decisive signs of reversal. Kharitonov remains skeptical about near-term upside given high volatility and the risk of new lows if $0.208 is breached. "Until SEI establishes solid support above $0.2389, I do not trust the upside and prefer to stay defensive."

Previously it was noted that momentum signals were cautious to negative on the daily time frame, with sellers dominating the market and limited probability of a rebound. The article emphasized the likelihood of sideways movement within the projected range and described the session as pronounced weakness as momentum and daily action both confirm a heavily pressured tone.

Source of Data: SEI Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.