Bitcoin price prediction 2026: Fed rate-cuts could revive BTC bullish momentum to $150k

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Sholanke Dele

17.10.2025

Bitcoin price prediction 2026: Fed rate-cuts could revive BTC bullish momentum to $150k — BTC extends weekly losses over 6%

Bitcoin price has extended its weekly losses into Friday as sellers continued to dominate following a late Thursday breakdown from a five-day consolidation range.

The cryptocurrency is trading near $107,000 in Friday European session, below the prior day’s close thus offsetting the earlier advances of the Asian session and registering a fourth consecutive down day for the alpha cryptocurrency. The mild rebound in the Asian session that lifted Bitcoin from the $108,000 level was not backed by strong participation, as the intraday volume contracted, reflecting hesitation from buyers to absorb the recent selling pressure.

- Bitcoin extends decline to $107,000 as ETF inflows shrink and sellers dominate market.

- 20-day EMA confirms persistent weakness and fragile investor sentiment.

- Long-term Bitcoin outlook points toward $150,000 if Fed begins easing in October.

The overall decline this week gathered pace when Bitcoin failed to sustain momentum above the $116,000 resistance. That level had defined the upper boundary of a narrow consolidation band that trapped prices since last weekend’s liquidation event. Over the past three days, sellers regained control, breaking the $110,000 support during late North American trading on Thursday, and sending Bitcoin to its lowest close of the week at $108,000.

Bitcoin price dynamic (Oct 2025). Source: Tradingview

Technically, the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) has become a key resistance barrier capping short-lived recoveries. On the 1-hour chart, the price rejection near $109,350 and failure to recover above short-term moving averages points to sustained weakness, while the daily structure now leans toward a deeper retracement toward $105,000.

BTC ETF inflows drop by $223 million, reflecting falling institutional risk appetite

The broader market context further reinforces the bearish tone. On-chain data reveals that Bitcoin whales have increased short exposure this week, capitalising on the downward pressure triggered by reduced institutional inflows. ETF inflows, which soared by over $2.7 billion last week, have now declined by roughly $223 million, as investor appetite for risk wanes off.

From a macro perspective, traders are eyeing the Federal Reserve’s next policy move. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s recent hints about beginning a rate-cut cycle in late October have not yet translated into support for Bitcoin, as risk sentiment across crypto assets remains fragile. However, an easing cycle could revive longer-term momentum. If monetary conditions loosen, Bitcoin’s narrative as a store of value could regain traction, potentially positioning the asset for another rally toward $150,000 by early 2026 once selling pressure exhausts.In summary, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook remains bearish after a technical breakdown below $110,000, but macro drivers such as policy easing could set the stage for recovery in the months ahead.

Recently, we discussed Bitcoin dropping 1% to $112,000 after rejection from the 100-day EMA resistance zone. Tariff tensions between China and the U.S. sparked renewed bearish sentiment across crypto markets.

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