Bitcoin price prediction: BTC weakness deepens below $100k amid long liquidations
Bitcoin price deepened its losses on Friday as sellers maintained firm control, sending the cryptocurrency to its lowest level in five months. During the European session, Bitcoin traded near $96,000 after opening the day at $99,600, marking a 3.6% intraday decline and its fourth consecutive day of losses. The sustained drop has weakened market sentiment, as reflected in the Binance Fear and Greed Index, which fell from 25 on Thursday to 22 on Friday, approaching extreme fear territory.
- Bitcoin dropped 3.6% to $96,000 on Friday, which marked a fourth straight day of losses.
- Over $210 million in long positions were liquidated this week, intensifying selling momentum.
- Binance Fear and Greed index fell from 25 to 22 as sentiment nears extreme bearish territory.
The decline extends a volatile week for Bitcoin that began with a sharp break below the $100,000 psychological threshold. Thursday’s session alone saw a wave of liquidations across major exchanges after bulls failed to defend key support levels. Over $150 million in long positions were liquidated during that session, intensifying downward pressure on the market. Although Bitcoin’s long-to-short ratio has continued to rise through the week, it has not been enough to stabilize price action. Instead, the imbalance between leveraged long exposure and price movement has amplified volatility, leading to further liquidation cycles.

Bitcoin price dynamics (June - Nov 2025). Source: Tradingview
Friday’s session saw an additional $60 million in long positions wiped out as Bitcoin extended its decline below $97,000. The ongoing selloff has pushed week-to-date losses above 8% and month-to-date losses past 11%. These figures highlight the severity of the current correction phase after Bitcoin failed to sustain the recovery momentum seen earlier in the month when it briefly tested resistance above $107,000.
Bitcoin long-to-short ratio surge to 2.8 signals growing imbalance in leveraged positions
Data from Glassnode indicates that long-term holders have intensified distribution activity in recent weeks, adding to the downward pressure. Supply held by long-term investors has declined as some early buyers take profits or exit positions in response to mounting bearish momentum. Analysts interpret this wave of selling as a potential transition phase, where long-held coins are being transferred to short-term traders during a broader price reset.
Despite the decline, the long-to-short ratio has surged to a nine-month peak at 2.8, suggesting that many traders continue to position for a rebound. This imbalance between rising long exposure and falling price could either set the stage for a short-term relief rally or trigger further liquidations if Bitcoin fails to stabilise above current levels.
Unless buyers step in to reclaim the $100,000 level, the market risks sliding into lower support zones near $92,000. For now, sentiment remains fragile, and whether the rising long bias translates into accumulation or further pain will depend on how price reacts to the weekend’s liquidity conditions.
We discussed how Bitcoin rose 1.9% to $103,500 after a two-day decline to a five-day low. Renewed holder distribution pressure showed as Binance inflows surged to 7,500 BTC daily.
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