Bitcoin price prediction: BTC recovery stalls near 50 EMA amid high inflows to Binance

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Sholanke Dele

13.11.2025

Bitcoin price prediction: BTC recovery stalls near 50 EMA amid high inflows to Binance — Bitcoin rose 1.9% to $103,500

Bitcoin price attempted a recovery on Thursday after two consecutive days of decline that dragged the cryptocurrency to a five-day low. In the early hours of the European session, Bitcoin rose to $103,500, registering an intraday gain of 1.9% as trading volume picked up. The uptick comes after the market suffered a 6.23% selloff, when price fell from an eight-day high of $107,500 on Tuesday to a five-day low of $100,800 on Wednesday.

- Bitcoin rose 1.9% to $103,500 after two-day decline dragged price to five-day low.

- Binance inflows surged to 7,500 BTC daily, a sign of renewed holder distribution pressure.

- RSI above 50 and volume expansion suggest limited short-term recovery potential for Bitcoin.

Earlier this week, Bitcoin’s attempt to rebuild its bullish structure was rejected at the 20-day EMA near $107,500, which acted as a major resistance level and triggered renewed selling pressure. The rejection set off a series of lower highs and lower lows across the short-term chart, shaping an intraday downtrend that has dominated the last two sessions. Today’s recovery appears to be a retracement within that broader bearish swing, as traders look to test nearby resistance zones.

Bitcoin price dynamics (Oct - Nov 2025). Source: Tradingview

Currently, Bitcoin faces a key barrier at the 4-hour 50 EMA around $104,000. This area coincides with the premium level of the last bearish swing, a region where institutional and algorithmic traders typically reposition sell orders. If price fails to close decisively above this level, the recovery could stall, and Bitcoin may re-test support near the $100,000 psychological mark.

Bitcoin RSI above 50 signals short-term recovery, but upside faces EMA resistance

On-chain data supports this view of persistent selling pressure. According to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin inflows to Binance have risen significantly through October, with the 30-day moving average of daily inflows climbing to roughly 7,500 BTC. This marks the highest exchange inflow rate since March, reflecting renewed distribution by holders and a cautious stance among traders expecting further price weakness.

However, near-term momentum indicators suggest some scope for continued upside before sellers regain control. The 4-hour RSI has moved above 50, indicating a short-term shift toward bullish momentum. Combined with expanding trading volume, this suggests that intraday buyers are active, attempting to recover part of the week’s loss.

If Bitcoin breaks above the 4-hour 50 EMA, further upside could extend toward $105,600, where the 100 EMA sits as the next resistance zone. A close above that level would significantly reduce the week-to-date loss and strengthen the case for a broader rebound. Conversely, rejection at the current resistance would reinforce the downtrend structure, leaving the door open for another swing low toward $100,000 as traders reassess risk exposure in the final sessions of the week.

We discussed as Bitcoin plunged 4.7% after rejection near the $107,500 resistance. Over $90 million in long liquidations reflected traders’ failed breakout attempts.

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