Technical weakness signals — Raydium slips 16.79% amid heavy selling and oversold momentum

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Raydium slides 16.79% today

Highlights

RAY is trading at $1.026, well below its MA-20 ($1.3913), MA-50 ($1.8272), and MA-200 ($2.6025), confirming sustained seller dominance across all timeframes.
Momentum and oscillators—including MACD, ADX, RSI (33.6), Stoch RSI, and CCI—signal strong bearish sentiment and oversold conditions, while intraday volatility remains high.
The expected price range for the coming week is $0.90 to $1.15, with less than 20% probability of upside and increased risk of further declines if $0.90 fails.

Oversold momentum and intraday selling after gap down

Momentum is firmly negative with both daily MACD and ADX pointing to a decisive sell bias, while RSI (33.6), Stoch RSI, and CCI all indicate oversold conditions. Bull/Bear Power (BBP) confirms sellers are in control intraday, and the Awesome Oscillator also supports the prevailing downtrend. RAY fell sharply after a modest gap down (today's open $1.136 vs. prior close $1.233), trading near the low of the day with high volatility and persistent pressure from the open.

Sideways bias as downside risk outweighs bullish reversal

For the coming week, the expected range is adjusted to $0.90 to $1.15 given current volatility, with a very low probability (less than 20%) of price increase and a much higher likelihood of continued decline. The baseline scenario is sideways movement within the specified range if support near $1.00 holds. A bullish turn could see RAY attempting to reclaim resistance at $1.15 and then $1.53, but such an outcome remains less likely given the indicator setup. If $0.90 fails, a bearish scenario would be confirmed by further downside momentum, targeting new lows.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Raydium under pressure with clear downside momentum dominating. He notes that price is struggling below key moving averages, but the oversold setup hints at potential for a technical stabilisation near $1.00. The analyst believes that while the bearish bias is strong, volatility could open tactical opportunities if support holds. Macro and sentiment factors are unfavorable for bulls at present, making any recovery a lower probability. "If $1.00 proves resilient, patient buyers may find a short-term entry, but I would only turn bullish with confirmation above $1.15," says Karapetjanc.

Previously it was noted that Raydium has introduced expanded wallet support for seamless connectivity, including Phantom, Solflare, Torus, Ledger, WalletConnect, and standard Ethereum wallets. This update is designed to simplify access to its trading, liquidity, and farming features while strengthening its role as a major DeFi hub in the Solana ecosystem.

Source of Data: RAY Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.