Robinhood: mixed technical signals led to 3.96% price forecast drop

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Robinhood slides 3.96% to $130.29 today

Highlights

Robinhood's funded customer base fell by about 130,000 in November 2025 versus October, but remained up 2.1 million year-over-year.
Margin book surged 147% year-over-year to $16.8 billion, driving a 66% rise in net interest revenue to $456 million and a 67% increase in total assets.
The company is leveraging record net deposits, global expansion, a regulated prediction markets hub, and premium subscriptions to boost growth.

Customer declines offset by margin growth and deposit inflows

Robinhood reported that its funded customer base declined by about 130,000 in November 2025 compared to October, but remained up 2.1 million year-over-year. The company's margin book expanded to $16.8 billion, a 147% annual increase, while net interest revenue grew 66% to $456 million, and total assets rose 67% year-over-year. The firm continues to benefit from record net deposits and from initiatives such as global expansion, its regulated prediction markets hub, and increased premium subscriptions.

Overbought momentum signals amid weak trend conviction

Momentum readings present a mixed view: the D1 MACD is neutral and ADX shows low trend strength, suggesting a pause in upward momentum. Overbought readings from Stoch RSI (91.98) and BBP (7.16) imply stretched conditions, while the D1 RSI (55.85) and CCI (97.04) remain supportive but are not extreme. Bull/Bear Power readings support recent buyer dominance, with the Awesome Oscillator also confirming lingering bullish bias. The nearest dynamic support is at the Ichimoku Kijun ($123.51), while resistance remains at the MA-50 ($133.29).

High upside odds as price eyes breakout beyond resistance

For the coming week, the typical volatility band is expected between $125.00 and $135.00 based on current conditions. The probability of a further price increase remains very high (above 80%), with a pullback less likely given persistently bullish signals from RSI, ADX, MACD, and moving averages on the weekly timeframe. In the main scenario, HOOD consolidates in a sideways range between current support and resistance. A bullish breakout above $133.29 could lead to new short-term highs, while a shift below $125.00 would expose further downside toward the $123.51 Kijun support.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, notes strong fundamental momentum at Robinhood despite minor short-term softness. He sees robust growth in customer assets and interest revenue supporting the long-term uptrend. Medium-term sentiment remains constructive, with volatility expected but a high probability for continued gains. The analyst emphasizes the importance of holding above key supports for bullish continuity. "With positive fundamentals and ongoing expansion, I expect HOOD to sustain its upward drive, especially if resistance at $133.29 is cleared."

Last time, analysts noted the stock was maintaining a strong position relative to key moving averages, reflecting sustained bullish trends across all timeframes. Technical indicators presented mixed momentum — with neutral daily MACD, buyers’ dominance on intraday oscillators, and support and resistance levels signaling a high probability of continued price gains in the typical volatility band relative to current levels with strong buy signals.

Source of Data: HOOD Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.